How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?
{name}: tikimybės realiuoju laiku
5.60%
- Yes16%
- No84%
Volume $4.3K · Liquidity $56.3
5.50%
- Yes14%
- No87%
Volume $3.3K · Liquidity $219.6
5.38%
- Yes37%
- No63%
Volume $3.1K · Liquidity $214.9
5.35%
- Yes52%
- No49%
Volume $2.8K · Liquidity $298.4
5.41%
- Yes24%
- No76%
Volume $2.6K · Liquidity $421.7
5.32%
- Yes55%
- No45%
Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $228.4
5.45%
- Yes18%
- No82%
Volume $1.8K · Liquidity $180.2
5.55%
- Yes12%
- No88%
Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $179.8
5.29%
Closed- Yes100%
- No0%
Volume $636.9 · Liquidity —
Baigties nustatymo taisyklės
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between October 2, 2026 and October 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for the last business day of October 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for the last business day of October 2026 by November 13, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see:
Kaip suprasti šias tikimybes
Kiekviena kaina svyruoja nuo 0 iki 1 JAV dolerio ir gali būti suprantama kaip rinkos dalyvių numanoma baigties tikimybė: 0,62 JAV dolerio reiškia maždaug 62 %. Kainos kinta su kiekvienu sandoriu, todėl jos atspindi bendrą rinkos dalyvių vertinimą, o ne garantiją. Prieš pradėdami prekiauti, peržiūrėkite aukščiau pateiktas baigties nustatymo taisykles, patikrinkite prekybos apimtį bei likvidumą ir rizikuokite tik tais pinigais, kuriuos galite sau leisti prarasti.
Daugiau Ekonomika rinkų

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.4%: 60%
24h vol $1.4K · Ends 2027-01-01

Fed Decision in October?
No change: 84%
24h vol $316.5K · Ends 2026-10-29

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes: 77%
24h vol $33.4K · Ends 2026-12-10

Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 75%
24h vol $1.6K · Ends 2026-12-10

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%: 79%
24h vol $2K · Ends 2026-12-31

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps): 96%
24h vol $25.3K · Ends 2027-01-01

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
Pause-Hike-Pause: 63%
24h vol $630.7 · Ends 2027-01-27

Fed Decision in January?
No change: 66%
24h vol $2.2K · Ends 2027-01-28

Fed rate cut by...?
July 2027 Meeting: 54%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 2028-01-29

Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 96%
24h vol $13.4K · Ends 2026-11-01

3rd Largest Company end of October?
Alphabet: 83%
24h vol $12.9K · Ends 2026-11-01

USD x Iranian rials End of October?
2.8M+: 65%
24h vol $930.9 · Ends 2026-11-01

