Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
{name}: tikimybės realiuoju laiku
Pause-Hike-Pause
- Yes56%
- No44%
Volume $19.6K · Liquidity $6.7K
Pause-Hike-Hike
- Yes13%
- No87%
Volume $7.9K · Liquidity $5.2K
Hike-Pause-Pause
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $716.2 · Liquidity $3.8K
Hike-Pause-Hike
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $657.9 · Liquidity $3.9K
Pause-Pause-Hike
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $517.8 · Liquidity $4.4K
Pause-Pause-Pause
- Yes10%
- No90%
Volume $488.9 · Liquidity $4.5K
Other
- Yes8%
- No93%
Volume $432 · Liquidity $4.1K
Hike-Hike-Pause
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $402.9 · Liquidity $4.3K
Hike-Hike-Hike
- Yes4%
- No96%
Volume $194 · Liquidity $4.4K
Baigties nustatymo taisyklės
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: October 27 to 28; December 8 to 9; and January 26 to 27. A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting. If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate cut will be encompassed by "Other". Emergency rate changes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings: The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
Kaip suprasti šias tikimybes
Kiekviena kaina svyruoja nuo 0 iki 1 JAV dolerio ir gali būti suprantama kaip rinkos dalyvių numanoma baigties tikimybė: 0,62 JAV dolerio reiškia maždaug 62 %. Kainos kinta su kiekvienu sandoriu, todėl jos atspindi bendrą rinkos dalyvių vertinimą, o ne garantiją. Prieš pradėdami prekiauti, peržiūrėkite aukščiau pateiktas baigties nustatymo taisykles, patikrinkite prekybos apimtį bei likvidumą ir rizikuokite tik tais pinigais, kuriuos galite sau leisti prarasti.
Daugiau Ekonomika rinkų

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
Hike–Pause–Hike: 62%
24h vol $16.1K · Ends 2026-12-09

Fed Decision in January?
No change: 64%
24h vol $49.7K · Ends 2027-01-28

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps): 96%
24h vol $26.3K · Ends 2027-01-01

US recession by end of 2026?
No: 93%
24h vol $5.6K · Ends 2026-12-31

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.70%: 77%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends 2026-12-31

Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 76%
24h vol $63.6K · Ends 2026-12-10

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes: 80%
24h vol $11.9K · Ends 2026-12-10

Swiss National Bank decision in December?
No Change: 73%
24h vol $23.8K · Ends 2026-12-10

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?
5.32%: 59%
24h vol $2.3K · Ends 2026-11-01

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?
Below 5.18%: 59%
24h vol $1.3K · Ends 2026-11-01

How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in October?
Below 5.55%: 71%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 2026-11-01

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in October?
5.70%: 41%
24h vol $824.3 · Ends 2026-11-01

