Fed Decision in October?
{name}: tikimybės realiuoju laiku
No change
- Yes84%
- No17%
Volume $8.5M · Liquidity $564.7K
25 bps increase
- Yes17%
- No84%
Volume $7.2M · Liquidity $757.7K
25 bps decrease
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $6.1M · Liquidity $270.4K
50+ bps decrease
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $5.9M · Liquidity $1.1M
50+ bps increase
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $4.4M · Liquidity $431.5K
Baigties nustatymo taisyklės
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Kaip suprasti šias tikimybes
Kiekviena kaina svyruoja nuo 0 iki 1 JAV dolerio ir gali būti suprantama kaip rinkos dalyvių numanoma baigties tikimybė: 0,62 JAV dolerio reiškia maždaug 62 %. Kainos kinta su kiekvienu sandoriu, todėl jos atspindi bendrą rinkos dalyvių vertinimą, o ne garantiją. Prieš pradėdami prekiauti, peržiūrėkite aukščiau pateiktas baigties nustatymo taisykles, patikrinkite prekybos apimtį bei likvidumą ir rizikuokite tik tais pinigais, kuriuos galite sau leisti prarasti.
Daugiau Ekonomika rinkų

Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 75%
24h vol $22.8K · Ends 2026-12-10

Fed Decision in January?
No change: 66%
24h vol $6.4K · Ends 2027-01-28

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?
25 bps increase: 54%
24h vol $3.7K · Ends 2026-10-28

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
No change: 95%
24h vol $15.5K · Ends 2026-10-30

US GDP growth in Q3 2026?
≥3.0%: 65%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 2026-10-30

Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?
2.5-3.0%: 27%
24h vol $648.2 · Ends 2026-10-30

Bank of Canada Decision in October?
No Change: 84%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends 2026-10-28

Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM)
0.2 to 0.3%: 44%
24h vol $789.2 · Ends 2026-10-30

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?
5.32%: 54%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 2026-11-01

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?
Below 5.18%: 68%
24h vol $667.3 · Ends 2026-11-01

JOLTS Job Openings: September 2026
7.4M+: 29%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends 2026-11-03

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
No change: 73%
24h vol $11.8K · Ends 2026-11-04

