Mondo Prediction Markets
Geopolitica ed eventi globali.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Ogni prezzo varia da 0 a 1 dollaro e può essere interpretato come la probabilità che il mercato attribuisce a un esito: 0,62 dollari corrispondono a circa il 62%. I prezzi cambiano a ogni operazione, quindi rappresentano una stima collettiva, non una garanzia. Prima di fare trading, controlla le regole per la determinazione dell'esito riportate sopra, il volume degli scambi e la liquidità, e rischia solo denaro che puoi permetterti di perdere.

Bulgaria Presidential Election
Iliana Iotova: 89%
24h vol $4.1K · Ends 26 ott 2026

French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Candidate N: 50%
24h vol $3.9K · Ends 18 apr 2027

French Presidential Election First Round Winner
Marine Le Pen: 82%
24h vol $3.7K · Ends 18 apr 2027

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?
Person F: 50%
24h vol $3.4K · Ends 1 mar 2027

Yoon out of custody before 2027?
No: 95%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends 1 gen 2027

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
Kuomintang (KMT): 82%
24h vol $2.7K · Ends 29 nov 2026

El Salvador Legislative Election: 2nd Place
Party T: 50%
24h vol $2.7K · Ends 1 mar 2027

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
No: 89%
24h vol $2.6K · Ends 1 gen 2027

Next Israeli Minister of National Security?
Person N: 50%
24h vol $2.5K · Ends 1 mar 2027

Netanyahu out by...?
No: 59%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends 1 gen 2027

Iran Nuke before 2027?
No: 97%
24h vol $2K · Ends 1 gen 2027

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
No: 96%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends 1 gen 2027

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
No: 98%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends 20 ott 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Yes: 80%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 31 dic 2026

Israel Election: United Torah Judaism vote share?
5-6%: 37%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 27 ott 2026

Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner
Kevin Acton: 73%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 25 ott 2026

Next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Person Y: 50%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 1 mar 2027

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
No: 96%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 1 gen 2027

Will Trump rename an ocean by...?
December 31, 2027: 28%
24h vol $1.6K · Ends 1 gen 2028

