Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?
{name}: quote in tempo reale
August 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1.3M · Liquidity —
October 31
- Yes7%
- No93%
Volume $660.5K · Liquidity $35.8K
July 15
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $569.1K · Liquidity —
September 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $499.7K · Liquidity —
December 31
- Yes17%
- No83%
Volume $310.6K · Liquidity $27.1K
July 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $243.8K · Liquidity —
Regole per la determinazione dell'esito
This market resolves to “Yes” if the Iranian government officially announces and begins collecting fees, tolls, charges, tariffs, or similar payments from commercial vessels which are mandatory for passage through or access to the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market resolves to “No.” A qualifying fee must be an announced policy which applies generally to all commercial vessels, or a defined subcategory of commercial vessels (e.g., vessels flagged to the US and its allies). Isolated demanded charges will not qualify. A fee is mandatory if, in practice, affected commercial vessels cannot transit or access the Strait of Hormuz without paying it, regardless of whether Iran characterizes the payment as voluntary or a fee for services. Fees described as tolls, maritime fees, service charges, environmental fees, security fees, insurance charges, etc. will qualify provided they are recognized as mandatory for passage through or access to the Strait of Hormuz by a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., a mandatory insurance fee charged by the Iranian Persian Gulf Strait Authority would qualify). Both of the following are required to occur prior to the specified date, 11:59 PM ET to satisfy this market’s resolution criteria: 1) An official announcement from the Iranian government that such a fee is being, or will be, implemented. 2) A consensus of credible reporting that collection of the fee has begun. Fees charged by Oman, the United Arab Emirates, shipping insurers, private companies, or other non-Iranian entities do not qualify unless charged jointly with Iran, or if Iran directly receives the fee or controls the charging entity. Normal port fees, customs duties, sanctions-related costs, or shipping surcharges do not alone qualify. The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of Iran and consensus of credible reporting.
Come leggere queste quote
Ogni prezzo varia da 0 a 1 dollaro e può essere interpretato come la probabilità che il mercato attribuisce a un esito: 0,62 dollari corrispondono a circa il 62%. I prezzi cambiano a ogni operazione, quindi rappresentano una stima collettiva, non una garanzia. Prima di fare trading, controlla le regole per la determinazione dell'esito riportate sopra, il volume degli scambi e la liquidità, e rischia solo denaro che puoi permetterti di perdere.
Altri mercati su Mondo

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 84%
24h vol $416.2K · Ends 1 gen 2027

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December 31: 8%
24h vol $79.5K · Ends 1 gen 2027

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 31: 14%
24h vol $26.6K · Ends 1 gen 2027

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
December 31: 36%
24h vol $19.2K · Ends 1 gen 2027

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
December 31: 19%
24h vol $13.9K · Ends 1 gen 2027

Iran full airspace closure by...?
December 31: 27%
24h vol $9.2K · Ends 1 gen 2027

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No: 95%
24h vol $3.4K · Ends 1 gen 2027

Iran Nuke before 2027?
No: 97%
24h vol $2.6K · Ends 1 gen 2027

Iran nuclear test before 2027?
No: 95%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 1 gen 2027

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 15: 98%
24h vol $102.7K · Ends 31 dic 2026

Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei: 88%
24h vol $10.6K · Ends 31 dic 2026

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
December 31: 37%
24h vol $24.6K · Ends 1 nov 2026

