Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by...?
{name}: quote in tempo reale
September 30
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $20.2K · Liquidity —
October 31
- Yes6%
- No95%
Volume $10.2K · Liquidity $567
October 16
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $6.5K · Liquidity —
September 25
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $1K · Liquidity —
Regole per la determinazione dell'esito
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Come leggere queste quote
Ogni prezzo varia da 0 a 1 dollaro e può essere interpretato come la probabilità che il mercato attribuisce a un esito: 0,62 dollari corrispondono a circa il 62%. I prezzi cambiano a ogni operazione, quindi rappresentano una stima collettiva, non una garanzia. Prima di fare trading, controlla le regole per la determinazione dell'esito riportate sopra, il volume degli scambi e la liquidità, e rischia solo denaro che puoi permetterti di perdere.
Altri mercati su Tech

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
October 20: 32%
24h vol $17.8K · Ends 1 nov 2026

GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?
$6.50+: 88%
24h vol $1.5K · Ends 1 nov 2026

Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Google: 75%
24h vol $46.8K · Ends 31 ott 2026

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Xiaomi: 61%
24h vol $4K · Ends 31 ott 2026

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?
OpenAI: 87%
24h vol $2.3K · Ends 31 ott 2026

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Company B: 50%
24h vol $2.1K · Ends 31 ott 2026

Best AI model on October 26?
gemini-4-argon-high: 71%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends 27 ott 2026

OpenRouter AI token usage Sep 28 to Oct 25?
625-675T: 49%
24h vol $3.7K · Ends 26 ott 2026

Best AI model on October 19?
gemini-4-argon-high: 95%
24h vol $5.5K · Ends 20 ott 2026

Which company has the best AI model end of November?
Company B: 50%
24h vol $4K · Ends 1 dic 2026

Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin?
85% to 87.5%: 57%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends 23 dic 2026

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Anthropic: 48%
24h vol $12.4K · Ends 31 dic 2026

