Tech Prediction Markets
IA, lanci di prodotto e traguardi delle big tech.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Ogni prezzo varia da 0 a 1 dollaro e può essere interpretato come la probabilità che il mercato attribuisce a un esito: 0,62 dollari corrispondono a circa il 62%. I prezzi cambiano a ogni operazione, quindi rappresentano una stima collettiva, non una garanzia. Prima di fare trading, controlla le regole per la determinazione dell'esito riportate sopra, il volume degli scambi e la liquidità, e rischia solo denaro che puoi permetterti di perdere.

Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 27%
24h vol $124.9K · Ends 1 gen 2029

Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 26%
24h vol $104.8K · Ends 1 gen 2029

Gemini 4.0 released by...?
November 30: 98%
24h vol $69K · Ends 1 dic 2026

North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 28%
24h vol $67.5K · Ends 1 gen 2029

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029: 22%
24h vol $58.1K · Ends 1 gen 2030

Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 26%
24h vol $55.6K · Ends 1 gen 2029

Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 24%
24h vol $54.7K · Ends 1 gen 2029

Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 84%
24h vol $50.5K · Ends 1 gen 2027

Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Google: 69%
24h vol $36.1K · Ends 31 ott 2026

Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 27%
24h vol $22.5K · Ends 1 gen 2029

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Google: 43%
24h vol $20.9K · Ends 31 dic 2026

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
December 31: 95%
24h vol $17.8K · Ends 31 dic 2026

3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Alphabet: 62%
24h vol $16.1K · Ends 1 gen 2027

Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 96%
24h vol $12.7K · Ends 1 nov 2026

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 28%
24h vol $9.4K · Ends 1 gen 2029

Gemini Argon released by...?
November 30: 94%
24h vol $9.2K · Ends 1 dic 2026

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Viking Therapeutics: 14%
24h vol $6.8K · Ends 1 gen 2027

Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
Microsoft: 33%
24h vol $5.5K · Ends 1 gen 2027

Gemini Argon released on...?
October 13: 39%
24h vol $4.6K · Ends 1 nov 2026

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
1480+: 31%
24h vol $4.6K · Ends 1 gen 2027

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
No release by October 31: 19%
24h vol $4.6K · Ends 1 nov 2026

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
December 31, 2027: 55%
24h vol $4.3K · Ends 1 gen 2028

Anthropic lab leak by...?
June 30, 2027: 10%
24h vol $4.1K · Ends 1 lug 2027

CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029: 23%
24h vol $3.9K · Ends 1 gen 2030

OpenAI resumes training on...?
Not resumed by October 20: 81%
24h vol $3.7K · Ends 21 ott 2026

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
December 31: 90%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends 31 dic 2026

Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?
Anthropic: 90%
24h vol $3.3K · Ends 1 nov 2026

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of December?
OpenAI: 79%
24h vol $3.3K · Ends 1 gen 2027

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
December 31, 2026: 18%
24h vol $3.2K · Ends 1 gen 2027

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
No: 86%
24h vol $3.1K · Ends 1 gen 2027

Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)
Google: 68%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends 31 ott 2026

Gemini Argon: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?
45%+: 89%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends 1 lug 2027

Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+: 77%
24h vol $2.7K · Ends 1 gen 2027

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
45%+: 35%
24h vol $2.5K · Ends 1 gen 2027

#1 Searched Passing on Google 2026?
Dolly Parton: 58%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends 1 apr 2027

3rd Largest Company end of October?
Alphabet: 88%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends 1 nov 2026

GTA 6 launch postponed again?
No: 96%
24h vol $2.3K · Ends 20 nov 2026

AI bubble burst by...?
June 30, 2027: 19%
24h vol $2.2K · Ends 1 gen 2027

Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by December 31, 2027: 59%
24h vol $2.2K · Ends 1 gen 2028

Next GPT Sol Model (6.1+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?
40%+: 90%
24h vol $2K · Ends 30 giu 2027

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
December 31, 2027: 66%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends 1 gen 2028

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
No release by November 1: 90%
24h vol $1.8K · Ends 1 nov 2026

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?
Company A: 50%
24h vol $1.8K · Ends 31 ott 2026

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Other: 50%
24h vol $1.8K · Ends 31 ott 2026

Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+: 64%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 1 gen 2027

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
55%+: 81%
24h vol $1.6K · Ends 1 gen 2027

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?
November 30, 2026: 82%
24h vol $1.6K · Ends 1 lug 2027

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
0: 76%
24h vol $1.6K · Ends 1 gen 2027

