Vai al contenuto

Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

{name}: quote in tempo reale

  • 50%+

    • Yes39%
    • No62%

    Volume $33.9K · Liquidity $1.9K

  • 45%+

    • Yes77%
    • No23%

    Volume $33.3K · Liquidity $1.2K

  • 55%+

    • Yes11%
    • No90%

    Volume $15.3K · Liquidity $723.7

  • 60%+

    • Yes11%
    • No90%

    Volume $12.8K · Liquidity $1.1K

  • 65%+

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $4.8K · Liquidity $971.8

Regole per la determinazione dell'esito

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Moonshot Kimi model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".

Come leggere queste quote

Ogni prezzo varia da 0 a 1 dollaro e può essere interpretato come la probabilità che il mercato attribuisce a un esito: 0,62 dollari corrispondono a circa il 62%. I prezzi cambiano a ogni operazione, quindi rappresentano una stima collettiva, non una garanzia. Prima di fare trading, controlla le regole per la determinazione dell'esito riportate sopra, il volume degli scambi e la liquidità, e rischia solo denaro che puoi permetterti di perdere.

Calcolatori di probabilità · Glossario · Corsi gratuiti