Gospodarstvo Prediction Markets
Kamatne stope, inflacija, podaci o zaposlenosti i makrodogađaji.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Svaka se cijena kreće od 0 do 1 USD i može se tumačiti kao vjerojatnost koju tržište pripisuje određenom ishodu: 0,62 USD znači otprilike 62 %. Cijene se mijenjaju sa svakom transakcijom, pa predstavljaju zajedničku procjenu sudionika, a ne jamstvo. Prije trgovanja provjerite gore navedena pravila za utvrđivanje ishoda, obujam trgovanja i likvidnost te riskirajte samo novac koji si možete priuštiti izgubiti.
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Alphabet: 64%
24h vol $4.5K · Ends 1. sij 2027.
USD x Iranian rials End of October?
2.8M+: 55%
24h vol $4.3K · Ends 1. stu 2026.
USD x Iranian rials End of December?
2.5 - 3.0M: 26%
24h vol $4K · Ends 31. pro 2026.
Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026?
No: 97%
24h vol $3.7K · Ends 1. sij 2027.
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.70%: 77%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends 31. pro 2026.
Mexico Annual Inflation 2026
3.50% to 3.99%: 52%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends 9. sij 2027.
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
Pause-Hike-Pause: 56%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends 27. sij 2027.
China Annual GDP Growth 2026
4.0–5.0%: 96%
24h vol $2.7K · Ends 1. velj 2027.
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?
5.32%: 61%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends 1. stu 2026.
Bank of Canada Decision in October?
No Change: 84%
24h vol $2K · Ends 28. lis 2026.
Fed rate cut by...?
July 2027 Meeting: 54%
24h vol $2K · Ends 29. sij 2028.
JOLTS Job Openings: September 2026
7.4M+: 33%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends 3. stu 2026.
Argentina Annual Inflation 2026
30.0-34.9%: 61%
24h vol $1.8K · Ends 11. sij 2027.
Spotify Monthly Active Users above __ in Q3?
770M: 100%
24h vol $1.8K · Ends 22. lis 2026.
Core CPI YoY - September 2026
2.4%: 44%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 15. lis 2026.
2026 World GDP Growth
3.1%: 31%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 1. svi 2027.
October Unemployment Rate
4.2%: 37%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 6. stu 2026.
US economic state at the end of 2026?
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%): 73%
24h vol $1.5K · Ends 1. velj 2027.
Bank of Russia decision in October?
No Change: 90%
24h vol $1.3K · Ends 24. lis 2026.
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?
Below 5.18%: 55%
24h vol $1.3K · Ends 1. stu 2026.
Price of Dozen Eggs in September?
$2.20 to $2.30: 52%
24h vol $1.2K · Ends 15. lis 2026.
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Apple: 70%
24h vol $1.2K · Ends 1. sij 2027.
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in October?
Below 5.55%: 70%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 1. stu 2026.
Bank of Mexico Decision in November?
No change: 76%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 5. stu 2026.
People's Bank of China rate change by December 31?
No Change: 89%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 31. pro 2026.
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
Yes: 69%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 1. sij 2027.
Bank of Canada Decision in December?
No Change: 53%
24h vol $1K · Ends 9. pro 2026.
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
4.3-4.6%: 71%
24h vol $977.2 · Ends 21. lis 2026.
Bank of Russia decision in December?
No change: 50%
24h vol $875.3 · Ends 18. pro 2026.
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in October?
5.73%: 54%
24h vol $830.3 · Ends 1. stu 2026.
EU emergency diesel stocks end of October 2026?
30M+: 96%
24h vol $744.2 · Ends 1. stu 2026.