Fed rate cut by...?
{name}: izgledi uživo
June Meeting
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $785K · Liquidity —
September 2026 Meeting
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $645.1K · Liquidity —
January Meeting
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $588.1K · Liquidity —
July Meeting
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $579.1K · Liquidity —
April Meeting
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $543K · Liquidity —
December 2026 Meeting
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $407.2K · Liquidity $59.7K
October 2026 Meeting
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $214.8K · Liquidity $95K
January 2027 Meeting
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $3.8K · Liquidity $27.7K
March 2027 Meeting
- Yes17%
- No83%
Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $12K
July 2027 Meeting
- Yes54%
- No47%
Volume $114.9 · Liquidity $6.2K
April 2027 Meeting
- Yes33%
- No68%
Volume $50 · Liquidity $6.8K
June 2027 Meeting
- Yes37%
- No64%
Volume $27.3 · Liquidity $4.9K
March Meeting
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume — · Liquidity —
Pravila za utvrđivanje ishoda
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve ( however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Kako tumačiti ove izglede
Svaka se cijena kreće od 0 do 1 USD i može se tumačiti kao vjerojatnost koju tržište pripisuje određenom ishodu: 0,62 USD znači otprilike 62 %. Cijene se mijenjaju sa svakom transakcijom, pa predstavljaju zajedničku procjenu sudionika, a ne jamstvo. Prije trgovanja provjerite gore navedena pravila za utvrđivanje ishoda, obujam trgovanja i likvidnost te riskirajte samo novac koji si možete priuštiti izgubiti.
Više tržišta: Gospodarstvo

Fed Decision in January?
No change: 66%
24h vol $6.4K · Ends 28. sij 2027.

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
Pause-Hike-Pause: 63%
24h vol $630.7 · Ends 27. sij 2027.

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps): 96%
24h vol $27.4K · Ends 1. sij 2027.

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.7%: 16%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends 1. sij 2027.

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.4%: 61%
24h vol $2.3K · Ends 1. sij 2027.

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%: 79%
24h vol $2K · Ends 31. pro 2026.

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes: 77%
24h vol $33.3K · Ends 10. pro 2026.

Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 75%
24h vol $22.8K · Ends 10. pro 2026.

Swiss National Bank decision in December?
No Change: 65%
24h vol $20.4K · Ends 10. pro 2026.

Reserve Bank of India decision in December
25 bps increase: 68%
24h vol $727.8 · Ends 4. pro 2026.

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?
5.32%: 53%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 1. stu 2026.

US GDP growth in Q3 2026?
≥3.0%: 65%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 30. lis 2026.

