Fed Decision in December?
{name}: izgledi uživo
25 bps increase
- Yes76%
- No25%
Volume $776K · Liquidity $127.8K
No change
- Yes23%
- No78%
Volume $680.6K · Liquidity $199.7K
25 bps decrease
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $604K · Liquidity $137.6K
50+ bps decrease
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $563.2K · Liquidity $114.1K
50+ bps increase
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $420.2K · Liquidity $111K
Pravila za utvrđivanje ishoda
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's December 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026 according to the official calendar: The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Kako tumačiti ove izglede
Svaka se cijena kreće od 0 do 1 USD i može se tumačiti kao vjerojatnost koju tržište pripisuje određenom ishodu: 0,62 USD znači otprilike 62 %. Cijene se mijenjaju sa svakom transakcijom, pa predstavljaju zajedničku procjenu sudionika, a ne jamstvo. Prije trgovanja provjerite gore navedena pravila za utvrđivanje ishoda, obujam trgovanja i likvidnost te riskirajte samo novac koji si možete priuštiti izgubiti.
Više tržišta: Gospodarstvo

Fed Decision in October?
No change: 81%
24h vol $1.6M · Ends 29. lis 2026.

Fed Decision in January?
No change: 65%
24h vol $20.2K · Ends 28. sij 2027.

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes: 80%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends 10. pro 2026.

Swiss National Bank decision in December?
No Change: 74%
24h vol $2.3K · Ends 10. pro 2026.

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
Hike–Pause–Hike: 61%
24h vol $12.9K · Ends 9. pro 2026.

Bank of Russia decision in December?
No change: 61%
24h vol $2.1K · Ends 18. pro 2026.

How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 5.20%: 37%
24h vol $7K · Ends 31. pro 2026.

US recession by end of 2026?
No: 93%
24h vol $6.9K · Ends 31. pro 2026.

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.70%: 64%
24h vol $5.9K · Ends 31. pro 2026.

How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.10%: 85%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends 31. pro 2026.

How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.50%: 14%
24h vol $949 · Ends 31. pro 2026.

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps): 96%
24h vol $17.5K · Ends 1. sij 2027.

