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ThePolyAcademy
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Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?

{name} : cotes en direct

  • Reservists and New Economic Party

    • Yes43%
    • No57%

    Volume $7K · Liquidity $1.8K

  • Amcha Yisrael

    • Yes44%
    • No56%

    Volume $6.9K · Liquidity $755.2

  • RZP-Zehut

    • Yes93%
    • No7%

    Volume $5.5K · Liquidity $15.3K

  • Blue & White

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $2K · Liquidity $17.9K

  • Ra'am

    • Yes96%
    • No4%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $17.7K

Règles de résolution

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (

Comment interpréter ces cotes

Chaque prix varie de 0 à 1 dollar et peut être interprété comme la probabilité que le marché attribue à une issue : 0,62 dollar correspond à environ 62 %. Les prix évoluent à chaque transaction : ils reflètent donc une estimation collective, et non une garantie. Avant de négocier, consultez les règles de résolution ci-dessus, vérifiez le volume des échanges et la liquidité, et ne risquez que l’argent que vous pouvez vous permettre de perdre.

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