Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?

{name} : cotes en direct

Gadi Eizenkot
- Yes63%
- No38%
Volume $6.4K · Liquidity $23.5K
Benjamin Netanyahu
- Yes31%
- No69%
Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $21.5K
Yossi Cohen
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $678.2 · Liquidity $11.3K
Ayelet Shaked
- Yes1%
- No100%
Volume $677 · Liquidity $11.7K
Yair Golan
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $646 · Liquidity $11.4K
Moshe Feiglin
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $513.5 · Liquidity $11.7K
Gilad Erdan
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $484.3 · Liquidity $11.1K
Nir Barkat
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $448.9 · Liquidity $11.2K
Benny Gantz
- Yes1%
- No100%
Volume $447.8 · Liquidity $11.1K
Itamar Ben Gvir
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $444.7 · Liquidity $11.2K
Naftali Bennett
- Yes3%
- No97%
Volume $441 · Liquidity $11.4K
Yair Lapid
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $436.8 · Liquidity $11.3K
Israel Katz
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $413.1 · Liquidity $11.4K
Yariv Levin
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $403.1 · Liquidity $11.3K
Yoaz Hendel
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $363 · Liquidity $11.3K
Gideon Sa’ar
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $358.9 · Liquidity $11.3K
Amir Ohana
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $358 · Liquidity $11.3K
Ofer Winter
- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $338.4 · Liquidity $11.4K
Avigdor Lieberman
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $333 · Liquidity $11.4K
Person 47
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 48
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 72
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 58
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 59
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 60
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 74
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 51
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 42
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 46
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 73
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 75
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 76
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 22
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 49
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 50
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 71
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 77
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 17
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 18
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 19
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 53
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 61
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 62
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 63
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 64
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 65
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 67
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 68
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 69
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 70
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 7
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 8
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 20
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 21
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 40
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 41
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 45
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 54
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 55
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 56
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 57
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 79
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Other
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 2
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 3
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 4
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 11
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 12
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 13
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 14
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 15
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 23
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 24
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 5
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 6
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 25
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 26
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 27
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 28
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 29
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 36
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 9
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 10
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 16
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 30
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 31
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 32
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 33
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 34
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 38
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 35
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 52
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 78
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 43
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 44
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 66
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 80
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 1
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 37
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0
Person 39
- Yes50%
- No50%
Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Règles de résolution

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked with forming a government after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Comment interpréter ces cotes

Chaque prix varie de 0 à 1 dollar et peut être interprété comme la probabilité que le marché attribue à une issue : 0,62 dollar correspond à environ 62 %. Les prix évoluent à chaque transaction : ils reflètent donc une estimation collective, et non une garantie. Avant de négocier, consultez les règles de résolution ci-dessus, vérifiez le volume des échanges et la liquidité, et ne risquez que l’argent que vous pouvez vous permettre de perdre.

Calculateurs de probabilités · Glossaire · Cours gratuits

Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?

{name} : cotes en direct

Gadi Eizenkot

Benjamin Netanyahu

Yossi Cohen

Ayelet Shaked

Yair Golan

Moshe Feiglin

Gilad Erdan

Nir Barkat

Benny Gantz

Itamar Ben Gvir

Naftali Bennett

Yair Lapid

Israel Katz

Yariv Levin

Yoaz Hendel

Gideon Sa’ar

Amir Ohana

Ofer Winter

Avigdor Lieberman

Person 47

Person 48

Person 72

Person 58

Person 59

Person 60

Person 74

Person 51

Person 42

Person 46

Person 73

Person 75

Person 76

Person 22

Person 49

Person 50

Person 71

Person 77

Person 17

Person 18

Person 19

Person 53

Person 61

Person 62

Person 63

Person 64

Person 65

Person 67

Person 68

Person 69

Person 70

Person 7

Person 8

Person 20

Person 21

Person 40

Person 41

Person 45

Person 54

Person 55

Person 56

Person 57

Person 79

Other

Person 2

Person 3

Person 4

Person 11

Person 12

Person 13

Person 14

Person 15

Person 23

Person 24

Person 5

Person 6

Person 25

Person 26

Person 27