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Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

{name} : cotes en direct

  • No Next Minister by Feb 28

    • Yes41%
    • No60%

    Volume $13.2K · Liquidity $43.6K

  • Israel Katz

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $5.8K · Liquidity $15.6K

  • Ofer Winter

    • Yes17%
    • No84%

    Volume $5.7K · Liquidity $24.1K

  • Avigdor Lieberman

    • Yes11%
    • No89%

    Volume $2.8K · Liquidity $33K

  • Benny Gantz

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $2.3K · Liquidity $23.4K

  • Elazar Stern

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $1.2K · Liquidity $10.3K

  • Naftali Bennett

    • Yes15%
    • No85%

    Volume $1K · Liquidity $29.4K

  • Yair Golan

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $554.6 · Liquidity $12.2K

  • Bezalel Smotrich

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $543.4 · Liquidity $9.8K

  • Gadi Eizenkot

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $480.8 · Liquidity $19.8K

  • Itamar Ben Gvir

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $374.1 · Liquidity $9.8K

  • Eli Cohen

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $370.5 · Liquidity $19.7K

  • Moshe Feiglin

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $343.9 · Liquidity $12.9K

  • Matan Kahana

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $283.7 · Liquidity $20K

  • Yoram Cohen

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volume $240 · Liquidity $3.3K

  • Benjamin Netanyahu

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $147 · Liquidity $3K

  • Amir Ohana

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $147 · Liquidity $12.9K

  • Yair Lapid

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $142.3 · Liquidity $13.3K

  • Person N

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person L

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person Y

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Other

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person M

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person O

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person P

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person Q

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person R

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person S

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person T

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person U

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person V

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person W

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person X

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person Z

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Règles de résolution

This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Defense in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections. To count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Defense will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution. The individual must be appointed as “Minister of Defense” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor. If the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Defense are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order. If no such Minister of Defense assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Comment interpréter ces cotes

Chaque prix varie de 0 à 1 dollar et peut être interprété comme la probabilité que le marché attribue à une issue : 0,62 dollar correspond à environ 62 %. Les prix évoluent à chaque transaction : ils reflètent donc une estimation collective, et non une garantie. Avant de négocier, consultez les règles de résolution ci-dessus, vérifiez le volume des échanges et la liquidité, et ne risquez que l’argent que vous pouvez vous permettre de perdre.

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