Aller au contenu

French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

{name} : cotes en direct

  • Marine Le Pen

    • Yes17%
    • No83%

    Volume $1.1K · Liquidity $14.5K

  • Édouard Philippe

    • Yes35%
    • No66%

    Volume $724.9 · Liquidity $24.5K

  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon

    • Yes25%
    • No76%

    Volume $692.3 · Liquidity $2.2K

  • Raphaël Glucksmann

    • Yes18%
    • No83%

    Volume $612.8 · Liquidity $1.9K

  • David Lisnard

    • Yes12%
    • No88%

    Volume $465 · Liquidity $13.8K

  • Sébastien Lecornu

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $320.9 · Liquidity $1.2K

  • Marine Tondelier

    • Yes1%
    • No100%

    Volume $315.3 · Liquidity $13.6K

  • Dominique de Villepin

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $311.6 · Liquidity $13.7K

  • Christine Lagarde

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $293.7 · Liquidity $13.7K

  • François Hollande

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $279.3 · Liquidity $14K

  • Éric Zemmour

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $267.9 · Liquidity $13.6K

  • François Ruffin

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $263.3 · Liquidity $13.6K

  • Gabriel Attal

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $258.3 · Liquidity $13.8K

  • Jordan Bardella

    • Yes1%
    • No100%

    Volume $253.6 · Liquidity $13.6K

  • Bruno Retailleau

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $238.1 · Liquidity $14K

  • Sarah Knafo

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $207.1 · Liquidity $15.5K

  • Candidate X

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate Y

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate Z

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate T

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate U

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate V

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate W

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate B

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate C

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate K

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate L

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate M

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate N

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate O

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate P

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate Q

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate R

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate H

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate J

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate S

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate G

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Other

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate A

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate D

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate E

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate F

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate I

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Règles de résolution

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in France on April 18, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (

Comment interpréter ces cotes

Chaque prix varie de 0 à 1 dollar et peut être interprété comme la probabilité que le marché attribue à une issue : 0,62 dollar correspond à environ 62 %. Les prix évoluent à chaque transaction : ils reflètent donc une estimation collective, et non une garantie. Avant de négocier, consultez les règles de résolution ci-dessus, vérifiez le volume des échanges et la liquidité, et ne risquez que l’argent que vous pouvez vous permettre de perdre.

Calculateurs de probabilités · Glossaire · Cours gratuits