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Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

{name} : cotes en direct

  • Delcy Rodríguez

    • Yes94%
    • No6%

    Volume $122.5K · Liquidity $33.6K

  • No Head of State

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $71.4K · Liquidity $34K

  • Vladimir Padrino López

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $68.5K · Liquidity $25.3K

  • María Corina Machado

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $55.5K · Liquidity $50.9K

  • Frank Donovan

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $42.3K · Liquidity $25.5K

  • Jorge Rodríguez

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $10.2K · Liquidity $41.6K

  • Richard Grenell

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $7.9K · Liquidity $25K

  • Diosdado Cabello Rondón

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $7.9K · Liquidity $37.3K

  • Marco Rubio

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $7.7K · Liquidity $43.6K

  • Evan Pettus

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $7.6K · Liquidity $27.1K

  • Nicolás Maduro

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $7K · Liquidity $44K

  • Dinorah Figuera

    • Yes1%
    • No100%

    Volume $6.2K · Liquidity $37.6K

  • Edmundo González

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $5.5K · Liquidity $22.7K

  • Dan Caine

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $3.3K · Liquidity $23.1K

  • Donald Trump

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $3.2K · Liquidity $24.9K

  • Pete Hegseth

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $3.1K · Liquidity $24.3K

  • Person Y

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person Z

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person O

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person T

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person U

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person V

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person W

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person X

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person J

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person K

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person L

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person M

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person N

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person P

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person Q

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person R

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person S

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Other

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person A

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person B

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person C

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person D

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person E

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person F

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person G

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person H

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person I

    • Yes—
    • No—

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Règles de résolution

This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Venezuelan state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition. Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required. If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Venezuela’s territory at the specified time. Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure. Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify. If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.

Comment interpréter ces cotes

Chaque prix varie de 0 à 1 dollar et peut être interprété comme la probabilité que le marché attribue à une issue : 0,62 dollar correspond à environ 62 %. Les prix évoluent à chaque transaction : ils reflètent donc une estimation collective, et non une garantie. Avant de négocier, consultez les règles de résolution ci-dessus, vérifiez le volume des échanges et la liquidité, et ne risquez que l’argent que vous pouvez vous permettre de perdre.

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