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Next leader out of power before 2027?

{name} : cotes en direct

  • None before 2027

    • Yes48%
    • No53%

    Volume $184.8K · Liquidity $49.5K

  • Netanyahu - Israel PM

    • Yes29%
    • No71%

    Volume $169.4K · Liquidity $35.2K

  • Sánchez - Spanish PM

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volume $48.5K · Liquidity $32.9K

  • Lula da Silva - Brazil President

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $41.4K · Liquidity $29.3K

  • Xi - General Secretary of the CCP

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $38.1K · Liquidity $30.1K

  • Merz - German Chancellor

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $37.9K · Liquidity $22K

  • Zelenskyy - Ukraine President

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $33.1K · Liquidity $29.5K

  • Trump - USA President

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $33K · Liquidity $28.4K

  • Lecornu - France PM

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $32.5K · Liquidity $29.1K

  • Macron - France President

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $31.9K · Liquidity $27.2K

  • Newsom - California Governor

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $31.5K · Liquidity $20.6K

  • Albanese - Australia PM

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $30.9K · Liquidity $29.3K

  • Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $30.8K · Liquidity $23K

  • Díaz-Canel - Cuba President

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $30.7K · Liquidity $27.8K

  • Erdoğan - Türkiye President

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $30.3K · Liquidity $23.4K

  • Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $28.7K · Liquidity $24.1K

  • Abbas - President of Palestine

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $27.9K · Liquidity $22.9K

  • Putin - Russia President

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $27.7K · Liquidity $34.6K

  • Takaichi - Japan PM

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $27.5K · Liquidity $24.1K

  • Sheinbaum - Mexico President

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $27K · Liquidity $21.5K

  • al-Sharaa - Syria President

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $25.5K · Liquidity $24.3K

  • Milei - Argentina President

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $25.2K · Liquidity $25.3K

Règles de résolution

This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Comment interpréter ces cotes

Chaque prix varie de 0 à 1 dollar et peut être interprété comme la probabilité que le marché attribue à une issue : 0,62 dollar correspond à environ 62 %. Les prix évoluent à chaque transaction : ils reflètent donc une estimation collective, et non une garantie. Avant de négocier, consultez les règles de résolution ci-dessus, vérifiez le volume des échanges et la liquidité, et ne risquez que l’argent que vous pouvez vous permettre de perdre.

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