IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
{name} : cotes en direct
July 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $193.3K · Liquidity —
December 31
- Yes15%
- No85%
Volume $106.3K · Liquidity $24.9K
October 31
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $102.1K · Liquidity $21.4K
August 31
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $60.1K · Liquidity $0
Règles de résolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Comment interpréter ces cotes
Chaque prix varie de 0 à 1 dollar et peut être interprété comme la probabilité que le marché attribue à une issue : 0,62 dollar correspond à environ 62 %. Les prix évoluent à chaque transaction : ils reflètent donc une estimation collective, et non une garantie. Avant de négocier, consultez les règles de résolution ci-dessus, vérifiez le volume des échanges et la liquidité, et ne risquez que l’argent que vous pouvez vous permettre de perdre.
Plus de marchés sur Politique

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
March 31: 57%
24h vol $172K · Ends 1 janv. 2027

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No: 89%
24h vol $48.1K · Ends 1 janv. 2027

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
December 31: 15%
24h vol $36.9K · Ends 1 janv. 2027

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31, 2026: 39%
24h vol $11.2K · Ends 31 déc. 2026

Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei: 87%
24h vol $107K · Ends 31 déc. 2026

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
No: 95%
24h vol $17.8K · Ends 1 déc. 2026

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
Yes: 73%
24h vol $74K · Ends 4 nov. 2026

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?
No Hormuz Agreement: 95%
24h vol $36.5K · Ends 4 nov. 2026

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
No Hormuz Agreement: 88%
24h vol $34.1K · Ends 4 nov. 2026

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate: 67%
24h vol $24K · Ends 4 nov. 2026

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?
No Agreement or Oil ≥ $80; D Senate: 66%
24h vol $10.7K · Ends 4 nov. 2026

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
No: 99%
24h vol $21.3K · Ends 1 nov. 2026

