Économie Prediction Markets
Taux d'intérêt, inflation, chiffres de l'emploi et événements macro.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Chaque prix varie de 0 à 1 dollar et peut être interprété comme la probabilité que le marché attribue à une issue : 0,62 dollar correspond à environ 62 %. Les prix évoluent à chaque transaction : ils reflètent donc une estimation collective, et non une garantie. Avant de négocier, consultez les règles de résolution ci-dessus, vérifiez le volume des échanges et la liquidité, et ne risquez que l’argent que vous pouvez vous permettre de perdre.
2026 World GDP Growth
3.1%: 31%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends 1 mai 2027
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
1-2%: 91%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends 13 févr. 2027
EU emergency diesel stocks end of November 2026?
30M+: 91%
24h vol $2.5K · Ends 1 déc. 2026
Bank of Canada Decision in October?
No Change: 84%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends 28 oct. 2026
3rd Largest Company end of October?
Alphabet: 83%
24h vol $2.2K · Ends 1 nov. 2026
Fed Decision in January?
No change: 66%
24h vol $2.2K · Ends 28 janv. 2027
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%: 79%
24h vol $2K · Ends 31 déc. 2026
JOLTS Job Openings: September 2026
7.4M+: 29%
24h vol $1.9K · Ends 3 nov. 2026
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?
5.32%: 62%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 1 nov. 2026
USD x Iranian rials End of December?
3.0 - 3.5M: 28%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 31 déc. 2026
Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 75%
24h vol $1.6K · Ends 10 déc. 2026
Price of Dozen Eggs in September?
$2.20 to $2.30: 55%
24h vol $1.6K · Ends 15 oct. 2026
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - October 2026
43.0 to 45.9: 51%
24h vol $1.5K · Ends 23 oct. 2026
Bank of England decision in November?
25 bps increase: 90%
24h vol $1.5K · Ends 5 nov. 2026
Bank of Russia decision in December?
No change: 50%
24h vol $1.4K · Ends 18 déc. 2026
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.4%: 60%
24h vol $1.4K · Ends 1 janv. 2027
October Unemployment Rate
4.2%: 37%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 6 nov. 2026
US GDP growth in Q3 2026?
≥3.0%: 65%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 30 oct. 2026
Bank of Israel Decision in October?
No Change: 89%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 21 oct. 2026
Bank of Mexico Decision in November?
No change: 75%
24h vol $981 · Ends 5 nov. 2026
USD x Iranian rials End of October?
2.8M+: 65%
24h vol $930.9 · Ends 1 nov. 2026
2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?
Apple: 93%
24h vol $917.9 · Ends 1 nov. 2026
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Apple: 69%
24h vol $911.2 · Ends 1 janv. 2027
What will the median home value in the US be on December 31?
$407K - $411K: 20%
24h vol $856.2 · Ends 11 janv. 2027
Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
-0.3% to -0.1%: 27%
24h vol $846.9 · Ends 2 déc. 2026
Core CPI YoY - September 2026
2.4%: 42%
24h vol $842.1 · Ends 15 oct. 2026
Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?
Yes: 76%
24h vol $770.5 · Ends 1 janv. 2027
Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM)
0.2 to 0.3%: 44%
24h vol $758.8 · Ends 30 oct. 2026
Reserve Bank of India decision in December
25 bps increase: 68%
24h vol $727.8 · Ends 4 déc. 2026
Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?
2.5-3.0%: 27%
24h vol $688.2 · Ends 30 oct. 2026
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
Pause-Hike-Pause: 63%
24h vol $630.7 · Ends 27 janv. 2027
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
No: 98%
24h vol $618.4 · Ends 1 janv. 2027
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
3.5–3.9%: 57%
24h vol $616.7 · Ends 21 janv. 2027