Économie Prediction Markets
Taux d'intérêt, inflation, chiffres de l'emploi et événements macro.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Chaque prix varie de 0 à 1 dollar et peut être interprété comme la probabilité que le marché attribue à une issue : 0,62 dollar correspond à environ 62 %. Les prix évoluent à chaque transaction : ils reflètent donc une estimation collective, et non une garantie. Avant de négocier, consultez les règles de résolution ci-dessus, vérifiez le volume des échanges et la liquidité, et ne risquez que l’argent que vous pouvez vous permettre de perdre.
Fed Decision in October?
No change: 84%
24h vol $330.2K · Ends 29 oct. 2026
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
↑ $95: 73%
24h vol $239.6K · Ends 1 nov. 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No: 86%
24h vol $109.7K · Ends 1 janv. 2027
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 84%
24h vol $50.9K · Ends 1 janv. 2027
September Inflation US - Annual
3.7%: 43%
24h vol $41.9K · Ends 15 oct. 2026
Anthropic IPO by __?
December 31, 2026: 74%
24h vol $34K · Ends 1 janv. 2027
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes: 77%
24h vol $33.3K · Ends 10 déc. 2026
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps): 96%
24h vol $27.4K · Ends 1 janv. 2027
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
No: 95%
24h vol $24.7K · Ends 1 janv. 2027
Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 75%
24h vol $22.8K · Ends 10 déc. 2026
Swiss National Bank decision in December?
No Change: 65%
24h vol $20.4K · Ends 10 déc. 2026
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
No change: 91%
24h vol $20.3K · Ends 30 oct. 2026
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
$1.75T–$2.0T: 20%
24h vol $18.2K · Ends 1 janv. 2028
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Alphabet: 62%
24h vol $16.3K · Ends 1 janv. 2027
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in October 2026?
↓ $4,100: 65%
24h vol $14K · Ends 1 nov. 2026
What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↓ $177: 99%
24h vol $13.9K · Ends 16 oct. 2026
Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 96%
24h vol $12.8K · Ends 1 nov. 2026
Core CPI MoM - September 2026
0.2%: 49%
24h vol $12.5K · Ends 15 oct. 2026
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
No change: 73%
24h vol $11.8K · Ends 4 nov. 2026
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 12?
Up: 63%
24h vol $10.5K · Ends 12 oct. 2026
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 12?
Up: 71%
24h vol $10.5K · Ends 12 oct. 2026
In which month will Anthropic IPO?
November 2026: 55%
24h vol $9.3K · Ends 1 janv. 2028
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Anthropic: 53%
24h vol $9.3K · Ends 2 janv. 2027
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?
No: 59%
24h vol $8.9K · Ends 13 oct. 2026
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↓ $4,150: 81%
24h vol $8.6K · Ends 16 oct. 2026
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
↑$1.5T: 94%
24h vol $8.5K · Ends 5 janv. 2027
What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↓ $60: 79%
24h vol $8.4K · Ends 16 oct. 2026
What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
$1.75–$2.00T: 37%
24h vol $7.9K · Ends 1 janv. 2028
September Inflation US - Monthly
0.6%: 48%
24h vol $7.3K · Ends 15 oct. 2026
What will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↓ $207: 90%
24h vol $6.7K · Ends 16 oct. 2026
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↑ $95: 62%
24h vol $6.5K · Ends 16 oct. 2026
Crude Oil all time high by...?
March 31, 2027: 19%
24h vol $6.5K · Ends 1 janv. 2027
Fed Decision in January?
No change: 66%
24h vol $6.4K · Ends 28 janv. 2027
What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↓ $382.50: 95%
24h vol $6.3K · Ends 16 oct. 2026
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?
↑ $780: 91%
24h vol $6.2K · Ends 1 nov. 2026
What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in October 2026?
↓ $60: 89%
24h vol $6K · Ends 1 nov. 2026
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on October 12?
$86: 98%
24h vol $5.9K · Ends 12 oct. 2026
What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit in October 2026?
↓ $105: 76%
24h vol $5.8K · Ends 1 nov. 2026
What will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit in October 2026?
↓ $180: 85%
24h vol $5.8K · Ends 1 nov. 2026
China Annual GDP Growth 2026
4.0–5.0%: 96%
24h vol $5.8K · Ends 1 févr. 2027
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↑ $780: 88%
24h vol $5.7K · Ends 16 oct. 2026
What will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↓ $228: 85%
24h vol $5.7K · Ends 16 oct. 2026
What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↓ $3.10: 90%
24h vol $5.6K · Ends 16 oct. 2026
2026 World GDP Growth
3.1%: 30%
24h vol $5.4K · Ends 1 mai 2027
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 12?
Down: 74%
24h vol $5.3K · Ends 12 oct. 2026
What will Apple (AAPL) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↓ $336: 89%
24h vol $5.2K · Ends 16 oct. 2026
What will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit in October 2026?
↓ 102.00: 75%
24h vol $5.2K · Ends 30 oct. 2026
What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in October 2026?
↓ $174: 94%
24h vol $5.2K · Ends 1 nov. 2026