US bank failure by December 31, 2026?
{name} : cotes en direct
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?
- Yes85%
- No16%
Volume $6.6K · Liquidity $2.1K
Règles de résolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.
Comment interpréter ces cotes
Chaque prix varie de 0 à 1 dollar et peut être interprété comme la probabilité que le marché attribue à une issue : 0,62 dollar correspond à environ 62 %. Les prix évoluent à chaque transaction : ils reflètent donc une estimation collective, et non une garantie. Avant de négocier, consultez les règles de résolution ci-dessus, vérifiez le volume des échanges et la liquidité, et ne risquez que l’argent que vous pouvez vous permettre de perdre.
Plus de marchés sur Économie

Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 70%
24h vol $150.7K · Ends 1 janv. 2027

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps): 97%
24h vol $135.9K · Ends 1 janv. 2027

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No: 89%
24h vol $100.1K · Ends 1 janv. 2027

Anthropic IPO by __?
December 31, 2026: 72%
24h vol $69.4K · Ends 1 janv. 2027

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.7%: 28%
24h vol $24.5K · Ends 1 janv. 2027

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
↑ $4,500: 50%
24h vol $17.8K · Ends 1 janv. 2027

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.4%: 38%
24h vol $17.1K · Ends 1 janv. 2027

Crude Oil all time high by...?
March 31, 2027: 20%
24h vol $11.7K · Ends 1 janv. 2027

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by December 31, 2026: 97%
24h vol $10.4K · Ends 1 janv. 2027

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
No: 54%
24h vol $4.9K · Ends 1 janv. 2027

3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Alphabet: 65%
24h vol $3.5K · Ends 1 janv. 2027

2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Apple: 59%
24h vol $2.9K · Ends 1 janv. 2027

