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ThePolyAcademy
FI

French Presidential Election First Round Winner

{name}: reaaliaikaiset todennäköisyydet

  • Marine Le Pen

    • Yes82%
    • No19%

    Volume $447.4 · Liquidity $12.2K

  • Édouard Philippe

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volume $273.9 · Liquidity $11.2K

  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $229.9 · Liquidity $448.1

  • Raphaël Glucksmann

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $220.9 · Liquidity $549.9

  • Dominique de Villepin

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $209.9 · Liquidity $1K

  • François Hollande

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $209.9 · Liquidity $1.1K

  • Bruno Retailleau

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $209.9 · Liquidity $916.2

  • Éric Zemmour

    • Yes3%
    • No97%

    Volume $209.9 · Liquidity $10.6K

  • Jordan Bardella

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $209.9 · Liquidity $579.5

  • David Lisnard

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $209.9 · Liquidity $11.3K

  • Gabriel Attal

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $209.9 · Liquidity $757.2

  • Sarah Knafo

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $209.9 · Liquidity $884.6

  • François Ruffin

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $209.9 · Liquidity $1K

  • Marine Tondelier

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volume $209.9 · Liquidity $1.3K

  • Sébastien Lecornu

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $173.9 · Liquidity $520.8

  • Christine Lagarde

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $153.9 · Liquidity $460.4

  • Candidate A

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate P

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate Q

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate R

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate G

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate H

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate E

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate F

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate I

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate J

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate B

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate C

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate D

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate K

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate L

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate M

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate N

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate O

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate S

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate T

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate U

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate V

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate W

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate X

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate Y

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Candidate Z

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Other

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Markkinan ratkaisusäännöt

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in France on April 18, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (

Näin tulkitset näitä todennäköisyyksiä

Jokainen hinta on 0–1 dollaria, ja sen voi tulkita markkinoiden arvioksi tietyn lopputuloksen todennäköisyydestä: 0,62 dollaria tarkoittaa noin 62 %:n todennäköisyyttä. Hinnat muuttuvat jokaisen kaupan myötä, joten ne kuvastavat osallistujien yhteistä arviota eivätkä takaa lopputulosta. Tarkista ennen kaupankäyntiä yllä olevat ratkaisusäännöt, kaupankäynnin volyymi ja likviditeetti. Riskiin kannattaa asettaa vain rahaa, jonka voit menettää.

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