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ThePolyAcademy
FI

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

{name}: reaaliaikaiset todennäköisyydet

  • Gadi Eizenkot

    • Yes19%
    • No82%

    Volume $13.4K · Liquidity $51K

  • No Next Minister by Feb 28

    • Yes32%
    • No69%

    Volume $10.5K · Liquidity $47.6K

  • Avigdor Lieberman

    • Yes16%
    • No85%

    Volume $8.2K · Liquidity $45.5K

  • Israel Katz

    • Yes9%
    • No92%

    Volume $4.6K · Liquidity $34.4K

  • Gideon Sa’ar

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $2.5K · Liquidity $32.7K

  • Naftali Bennett

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $959.2 · Liquidity $18.5K

  • Benny Gantz

    • Yes1%
    • No100%

    Volume $653.4 · Liquidity $29K

  • Yoram Cohen

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $561.3 · Liquidity $17.8K

  • Ron Dermer

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $516.6 · Liquidity $31K

  • Yair Lapid

    • Yes9%
    • No92%

    Volume $400.7 · Liquidity $34.3K

  • Eli Cohen

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $395.3 · Liquidity $29.1K

  • Yossi Cohen

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $290.6 · Liquidity $29.4K

  • Yair Golan

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $232.8 · Liquidity $14.8K

  • Benjamin Netanyahu

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $200.6 · Liquidity $17K

  • Amir Ohana

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $200.6 · Liquidity $17.6K

  • Person I

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person J

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person K

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person L

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person M

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person N

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person O

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person P

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person Q

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person R

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person W

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Other

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person Z

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person S

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person T

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person U

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person V

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person X

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

  • Person Y

    • Yes50%
    • No50%

    Volume $0 · Liquidity $0

Markkinan ratkaisusäännöt

This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections. To count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Foreign Affairs will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution. The individual must be appointed as “Minister of Foreign Affairs” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor. If the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Foreign Affairs are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order. If no such Minister of Foreign Affairs assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Näin tulkitset näitä todennäköisyyksiä

Jokainen hinta on 0–1 dollaria, ja sen voi tulkita markkinoiden arvioksi tietyn lopputuloksen todennäköisyydestä: 0,62 dollaria tarkoittaa noin 62 %:n todennäköisyyttä. Hinnat muuttuvat jokaisen kaupan myötä, joten ne kuvastavat osallistujien yhteistä arviota eivätkä takaa lopputulosta. Tarkista ennen kaupankäyntiä yllä olevat ratkaisusäännöt, kaupankäynnin volyymi ja likviditeetti. Riskiin kannattaa asettaa vain rahaa, jonka voit menettää.

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