Talous Prediction Markets
Korot, inflaatio, työllisyysluvut ja makrotapahtumat.
Data from Polymarket, updated ….
Jokainen hinta on 0–1 dollaria, ja sen voi tulkita markkinoiden arvioksi tietyn lopputuloksen todennäköisyydestä: 0,62 dollaria tarkoittaa noin 62 %:n todennäköisyyttä. Hinnat muuttuvat jokaisen kaupan myötä, joten ne kuvastavat osallistujien yhteistä arviota eivätkä takaa lopputulosta. Tarkista ennen kaupankäyntiä yllä olevat ratkaisusäännöt, kaupankäynnin volyymi ja likviditeetti. Riskiin kannattaa asettaa vain rahaa, jonka voit menettää.
What will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↓ $2.00: 55%
24h vol $6.3K · Ends 16.10.2026
What will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↑ $547.50: 63%
24h vol $6.2K · Ends 16.10.2026
September Inflation US - Monthly
0.6%: 48%
24h vol $6.1K · Ends 15.10.2026
China Annual GDP Growth 2026
4.0–5.0%: 96%
24h vol $5.7K · Ends 1.2.2027
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
Hike–Pause–Hike: 66%
24h vol $5.2K · Ends 9.12.2026
South Africa Annual Inflation 2026
>5.0%: 74%
24h vol $5K · Ends 21.1.2027
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?
280M: 84%
24h vol $3.7K · Ends 12.11.2026
Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026?
No: 96%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends 1.1.2027
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.70%: 77%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends 31.12.2026
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
1-2%: 91%
24h vol $2.8K · Ends 13.2.2027
Bank of Canada Decision in October?
No Change: 85%
24h vol $2.7K · Ends 28.10.2026
JOLTS Job Openings: September 2026
7.4M+: 32%
24h vol $2.1K · Ends 3.11.2026
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?
5.32%: 59%
24h vol $2.1K · Ends 1.11.2026
USD x Iranian rials End of December?
2.5 - 3.0M: 26%
24h vol $2K · Ends 31.12.2026
2026 World GDP Growth
3.1%: 31%
24h vol $1.8K · Ends 1.5.2027
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?
25 bps increase: 54%
24h vol $1.8K · Ends 28.10.2026
Argentina Annual Inflation 2026
30.0-34.9%: 61%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 11.1.2027
Bank of England decision in November?
25 bps increase: 89%
24h vol $1.6K · Ends 5.11.2026
USD x Iranian rials End of October?
2.8M+: 56%
24h vol $1.5K · Ends 1.11.2026
US economic state at the end of 2026?
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%): 73%
24h vol $1.4K · Ends 1.2.2027
Bank of Russia decision in December?
No change: 50%
24h vol $1.4K · Ends 18.12.2026
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%: 78%
24h vol $1.4K · Ends 31.12.2026
Bank of Israel Decision in October?
No Change: 90%
24h vol $1.2K · Ends 21.10.2026
Core CPI YoY - September 2026
2.4%: 36%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 15.10.2026
People's Bank of China rate change by December 31?
No Change: 89%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 31.12.2026
Fed rate cut by...?
July 2027 Meeting: 54%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 29.1.2028
October Unemployment Rate
4.2%: 37%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 6.11.2026
2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Apple: 70%
24h vol $1K · Ends 1.1.2027
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?
Below 5.18%: 70%
24h vol $988.1 · Ends 1.11.2026
Bank of Mexico Decision in November?
No change: 78%
24h vol $981 · Ends 5.11.2026
Price of Dozen Eggs in September?
$2.20 to $2.30: 56%
24h vol $934.6 · Ends 15.10.2026
Bank of Canada Decision in December?
No Change: 53%
24h vol $933.4 · Ends 9.12.2026
EU emergency diesel stocks end of October 2026?
30M+: 96%
24h vol $856.2 · Ends 1.11.2026
What will the median home value in the US be on December 31?
$407K - $411K: 20%
24h vol $845.2 · Ends 11.1.2027
Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
-0.3% to -0.1%: 27%
24h vol $826.9 · Ends 2.12.2026
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - October 2026
43.0 to 45.9: 51%
24h vol $811.9 · Ends 23.10.2026
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
4.3-4.6%: 73%
24h vol $804.1 · Ends 21.10.2026