Fed rate cut by...?
{name}: reaaliaikaiset todennäköisyydet
June Meeting
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $785K · Liquidity —
September 2026 Meeting
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $645.1K · Liquidity —
January Meeting
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $588.1K · Liquidity —
July Meeting
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $579.1K · Liquidity —
April Meeting
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume $543K · Liquidity —
December 2026 Meeting
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volume $407.2K · Liquidity $59.1K
October 2026 Meeting
- Yes1%
- No99%
Volume $214.8K · Liquidity $90.4K
January 2027 Meeting
- Yes5%
- No95%
Volume $3.8K · Liquidity $28.5K
March 2027 Meeting
- Yes16%
- No84%
Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $12K
July 2027 Meeting
- Yes54%
- No47%
Volume $114.9 · Liquidity $6.2K
April 2027 Meeting
- Yes33%
- No68%
Volume $50 · Liquidity $6.8K
June 2027 Meeting
- Yes37%
- No64%
Volume $27.3 · Liquidity $4.9K
March Meeting
Closed- Yes0%
- No100%
Volume — · Liquidity —
Markkinan ratkaisusäännöt
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve ( however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Näin tulkitset näitä todennäköisyyksiä
Jokainen hinta on 0–1 dollaria, ja sen voi tulkita markkinoiden arvioksi tietyn lopputuloksen todennäköisyydestä: 0,62 dollaria tarkoittaa noin 62 %:n todennäköisyyttä. Hinnat muuttuvat jokaisen kaupan myötä, joten ne kuvastavat osallistujien yhteistä arviota eivätkä takaa lopputulosta. Tarkista ennen kaupankäyntiä yllä olevat ratkaisusäännöt, kaupankäynnin volyymi ja likviditeetti. Riskiin kannattaa asettaa vain rahaa, jonka voit menettää.
Lisää Talous-markkinoita

Fed Decision in January?
No change: 66%
24h vol $6.4K · Ends 28.1.2027

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps): 96%
24h vol $26.6K · Ends 1.1.2027

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.7%: 16%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends 1.1.2027

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.4%: 62%
24h vol $2.4K · Ends 1.1.2027

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%: 79%
24h vol $2.1K · Ends 31.12.2026

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes: 77%
24h vol $33.2K · Ends 10.12.2026

Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 75%
24h vol $22.8K · Ends 10.12.2026

Swiss National Bank decision in December?
No Change: 63%
24h vol $19.6K · Ends 10.12.2026

Reserve Bank of India decision in December
25 bps increase: 68%
24h vol $727.8 · Ends 4.12.2026

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?
5.32%: 54%
24h vol $1.7K · Ends 1.11.2026

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?
Below 5.18%: 68%
24h vol $667.3 · Ends 1.11.2026

US GDP growth in Q3 2026?
≥3.0%: 65%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 30.10.2026

