How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?
{name}: reaaliaikaiset todennäköisyydet
5.60%
- Yes12%
- No88%
Volume $4.3K · Liquidity $203.3
5.50%
- Yes13%
- No87%
Volume $3.3K · Liquidity $170.2
5.38%
- Yes36%
- No64%
Volume $3.2K · Liquidity $172
5.41%
- Yes31%
- No69%
Volume $2.9K · Liquidity $309.7
5.35%
- Yes52%
- No49%
Volume $2.8K · Liquidity $466.8
5.32%
- Yes62%
- No38%
Volume $2.4K · Liquidity $372.7
5.45%
- Yes22%
- No78%
Volume $1.9K · Liquidity $216
5.55%
- Yes14%
- No86%
Volume $1.6K · Liquidity $205.1
5.29%
Closed- Yes100%
- No0%
Volume $636.9 · Liquidity —
Markkinan ratkaisusäännöt
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between October 2, 2026 and October 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for the last business day of October 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for the last business day of October 2026 by November 13, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see:
Näin tulkitset näitä todennäköisyyksiä
Jokainen hinta on 0–1 dollaria, ja sen voi tulkita markkinoiden arvioksi tietyn lopputuloksen todennäköisyydestä: 0,62 dollaria tarkoittaa noin 62 %:n todennäköisyyttä. Hinnat muuttuvat jokaisen kaupan myötä, joten ne kuvastavat osallistujien yhteistä arviota eivätkä takaa lopputulosta. Tarkista ennen kaupankäyntiä yllä olevat ratkaisusäännöt, kaupankäynnin volyymi ja likviditeetti. Riskiin kannattaa asettaa vain rahaa, jonka voit menettää.
Lisää Talous-markkinoita

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in October?
Below 5.18%: 69%
24h vol $988.1 · Ends 1.11.2026

Fed Decision in October?
No change: 83%
24h vol $563K · Ends 29.10.2026

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
Hike–Pause–Hike: 66%
24h vol $6K · Ends 9.12.2026

Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 76%
24h vol $53.5K · Ends 10.12.2026

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes: 79%
24h vol $13.7K · Ends 10.12.2026

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.70%: 77%
24h vol $3.6K · Ends 31.12.2026

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%: 78%
24h vol $1.4K · Ends 31.12.2026

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps): 96%
24h vol $28.5K · Ends 1.1.2027

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
Pause-Hike-Pause: 56%
24h vol $3.3K · Ends 27.1.2027

Fed Decision in January?
No change: 64%
24h vol $41.7K · Ends 28.1.2027

Fed rate cut by...?
July 2027 Meeting: 54%
24h vol $1.1K · Ends 29.1.2028

Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 94%
24h vol $18.8K · Ends 1.11.2026

