Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
{name}: tõenäosused reaalajas
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Yes80%
- No20%
Volume $823.3K · Liquidity $54.2K
Tulemuse määramise reeglid
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET: - Trump out as President - China invades Taiwan - Xi Jinping out - U.S. invades Iran - Iranian regime falls - Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’ - Jeffrey Epstein alive - Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate - Russia invades a NATO country - Trump acquires Greenland - 9.0 or above earthquake - Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) - Major meteor strike (250kt+) Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The full rules for this market can be found here:
Kuidas neid tõenäosusi tõlgendada
Iga hind jääb 0 ja 1 USA dollari vahele ning seda võib tõlgendada tõenäosusena, mille turg omistab konkreetsele tulemusele: 0,62 dollarit tähendab ligikaudu 62%. Hinnad muutuvad iga tehinguga, seega kajastavad need turuosaliste ühist hinnangut, mitte garantiid. Enne kauplemist tutvu ülaltoodud tulemuse määramise reeglitega ning kontrolli kauplemismahtu ja likviidsust. Riski ainult rahaga, mille kaotamist saad endale lubada.
Veel turge teemal Maailm

Iran leader end of 2026?
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Pakistan military action against Yemen by...?
December 31: 26%
24h vol $6.8K · Ends 31. dets 2026

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 31: 13%
24h vol $30.9K · Ends 31. dets 2026

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 83%
24h vol $385K · Ends 1. jaan 2027

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December 31: 8%
24h vol $75.1K · Ends 1. jaan 2027

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No: 98%
24h vol $73.5K · Ends 1. jaan 2027

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
December 31, 2027: 46%
24h vol $45.2K · Ends 1. jaan 2027

Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No: 97%
24h vol $39.3K · Ends 1. jaan 2027

Modi out by December 31, 2026?
No: 96%
24h vol $28.8K · Ends 1. jaan 2027

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 31: 14%
24h vol $26.3K · Ends 1. jaan 2027

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
December 31: 21%
24h vol $21K · Ends 1. jaan 2027

