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ThePolyAcademy
ET

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

{name}: tõenäosused reaalajas

  • July 15

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.6M · Liquidity —

  • September 30

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $1.5M · Liquidity —

  • December 31

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volume $1.1M · Liquidity $36.8K

  • June 30, 2027

    • Yes44%
    • No56%

    Volume $105K · Liquidity $38K

  • March 31

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $27K · Liquidity —

  • February 28

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $15.1K · Liquidity —

Tulemuse määramise reeglid

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.

Kuidas neid tõenäosusi tõlgendada

Iga hind jääb 0 ja 1 USA dollari vahele ning seda võib tõlgendada tõenäosusena, mille turg omistab konkreetsele tulemusele: 0,62 dollarit tähendab ligikaudu 62%. Hinnad muutuvad iga tehinguga, seega kajastavad need turuosaliste ühist hinnangut, mitte garantiid. Enne kauplemist tutvu ülaltoodud tulemuse määramise reeglitega ning kontrolli kauplemismahtu ja likviidsust. Riski ainult rahaga, mille kaotamist saad endale lubada.

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