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ThePolyAcademy
ET

Fed rate cut by...?

{name}: tõenäosused reaalajas

  • June Meeting

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $785K · Liquidity —

  • September 2026 Meeting

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $645.1K · Liquidity —

  • January Meeting

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $588.1K · Liquidity —

  • July Meeting

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $579.1K · Liquidity —

  • April Meeting

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume $543K · Liquidity —

  • December 2026 Meeting

    • Yes2%
    • No98%

    Volume $407.2K · Liquidity $59.1K

  • October 2026 Meeting

    • Yes1%
    • No99%

    Volume $214.8K · Liquidity $90.4K

  • January 2027 Meeting

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volume $3.8K · Liquidity $28.5K

  • March 2027 Meeting

    • Yes16%
    • No84%

    Volume $1.3K · Liquidity $12K

  • July 2027 Meeting

    • Yes54%
    • No47%

    Volume $114.9 · Liquidity $6.2K

  • April 2027 Meeting

    • Yes33%
    • No68%

    Volume $50 · Liquidity $6.8K

  • June 2027 Meeting

    • Yes37%
    • No64%

    Volume $27.3 · Liquidity $4.9K

  • March Meeting

    Closed
    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volume — · Liquidity —

Tulemuse määramise reeglid

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for January 2026, currently scheduled for January 27-28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no January meeting takes place by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve ( however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kuidas neid tõenäosusi tõlgendada

Iga hind jääb 0 ja 1 USA dollari vahele ning seda võib tõlgendada tõenäosusena, mille turg omistab konkreetsele tulemusele: 0,62 dollarit tähendab ligikaudu 62%. Hinnad muutuvad iga tehinguga, seega kajastavad need turuosaliste ühist hinnangut, mitte garantiid. Enne kauplemist tutvu ülaltoodud tulemuse määramise reeglitega ning kontrolli kauplemismahtu ja likviidsust. Riski ainult rahaga, mille kaotamist saad endale lubada.

Tõenäosuskalkulaatorid · Sõnastik · Tasuta kursused

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