Mercados de predicción de Mundo
Geopolítica y eventos globales.
Datos de Polymarket, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro: 77%
Vol. 24h $955.4K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot: 48%
Vol. 24h $904.4K · Cierra 28 oct 2026
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen: 47%
Vol. 24h $764.8K · Cierra 19 abr 2027
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 21: 98%
Vol. 24h $539.8K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
Vol. 24h $335.7K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
France declares state of siege (martial law) by...?
December 31: 4%
Vol. 24h $110.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 85%
Vol. 24h $98.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?
October 6: 93%
Vol. 24h $94.7K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?
December 31: 24%
Vol. 24h $66.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory
Remain 40–60%: 78%
Vol. 24h $60.7K · Cierra 20 oct 2026
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...?
June 30, 2027: 63%
Vol. 24h $52.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No: 98%
Vol. 24h $52K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Curfew in a major French city by...?
December 31: 50%
Vol. 24h $51.6K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 2027: 11%
Vol. 24h $47.7K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31: 26%
Vol. 24h $37.8K · Cierra 3 ene 2027
Netanyahu out by...?
No: 61%
Vol. 24h $35.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No: 97%
Vol. 24h $33.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Bulgaria Presidential Election
Iliana Iotova: 89%
Vol. 24h $33.9K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
December 31: 31%
Vol. 24h $32.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 31: 9%
Vol. 24h $32.6K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
Ursula von der Leyen: 39%
Vol. 24h $30.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
US military action against Cuba by...?
No: 91%
Vol. 24h $30K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
October 21: 92%
Vol. 24h $27.7K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
Vol. 24h $27.7K · Cierra 25 oct 2026
France declares state of emergency by...?
December 31: 16%
Vol. 24h $24.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Macron out by...?
No: 96%
Vol. 24h $24K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
No: 89%
Vol. 24h $23.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No: 96%
Vol. 24h $22K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?
No: 93%
Vol. 24h $16.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 31: 12%
Vol. 24h $15.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
December 31: 30%
Vol. 24h $13.3K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
December 31, 2027: 42%
Vol. 24h $12.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
China: 77%
Vol. 24h $12.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Person Z: 50%
Vol. 24h $11.9K · Cierra 1 mar 2027
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31: 72%
Vol. 24h $11.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
December 31: 18%
Vol. 24h $11.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
No: 98%
Vol. 24h $10.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No: 94%
Vol. 24h $9.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?
December 31: 97%
Vol. 24h $9.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Somaliland: 14%
Vol. 24h $8.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Iran full airspace closure by...?
December 31: 32%
Vol. 24h $8.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Vladimir Putin: 87%
Vol. 24h $8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
New pandemic in 2026?
No: 96%
Vol. 24h $7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Next Israeli Minister of Justice?
Person J: 50%
Vol. 24h $6.8K · Cierra 1 mar 2027
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
No: 91%
Vol. 24h $6.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December 31: 7%
Vol. 24h $6.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Bank of Japan Decision in October?
No change: 97%
Vol. 24h $6.3K · Cierra 30 oct 2026
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
No: 76%
Vol. 24h $5.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027