Mercados de predicción de Mundo
Geopolítica y eventos globales.
Datos de Polymarket, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro: 77%
Vol. 24h $1.1M · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot: 49%
Vol. 24h $1M · Cierra 28 oct 2026
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen: 46%
Vol. 24h $758.3K · Cierra 19 abr 2027
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31: 37%
Vol. 24h $575.2K · Cierra 3 ene 2027
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
Vol. 24h $563K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31: 100%
Vol. 24h $489.3K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 24: 94%
Vol. 24h $315.2K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 2027: 10%
Vol. 24h $169.7K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
Iotova 10-20%: 61%
Vol. 24h $165.7K · Cierra 25 oct 2026
Iran full airspace closure by...?
December 31: 41%
Vol. 24h $134.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Bulgaria Presidential Election
Iliana Iotova: 88%
Vol. 24h $115.8K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027
Donald Trump: 9%
Vol. 24h $94.1K · Cierra 1 abr 2028
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 84%
Vol. 24h $83.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 31, 2027: 53%
Vol. 24h $82.6K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 31: 14%
Vol. 24h $74.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No: 98%
Vol. 24h $65.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No: 95%
Vol. 24h $57K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Iran coup attempt by...?
December 31, 2027: 28%
Vol. 24h $54K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No: 97%
Vol. 24h $39.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
October 26: 90%
Vol. 24h $38.4K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Spain General Election Winner
PP: 76%
Vol. 24h $31.2K · Cierra 30 nov 2026
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
December 31: 34%
Vol. 24h $29.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
No: 95%
Vol. 24h $27.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December 31: 9%
Vol. 24h $24.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027: 93%
Vol. 24h $22.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
June 30, 2027: 9%
Vol. 24h $21.5K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Vladimir Putin: 84%
Vol. 24h $17.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?
25-29: 71%
Vol. 24h $16.6K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei: 86%
Vol. 24h $16.3K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Specific Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
Vol. 24h $15.7K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No: 94%
Vol. 24h $13.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
December 31, 2027: 40%
Vol. 24h $13.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Next Israeli Minister of Justice?
Person W: 50%
Vol. 24h $13.3K · Cierra 1 mar 2027
Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
Person X: 50%
Vol. 24h $13.1K · Cierra 1 mar 2027
French Presidential Election First Round Winner
Marine Le Pen: 84%
Vol. 24h $12.9K · Cierra 18 abr 2027
Next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Person P: 50%
Vol. 24h $11.8K · Cierra 1 mar 2027
France declares state of emergency by...?
December 31: 18%
Vol. 24h $11.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?
October 27: 70%
Vol. 24h $10.8K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?
October 17: 90%
Vol. 24h $10.2K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Bank of Japan Decision in October?
No change: 98%
Vol. 24h $9.6K · Cierra 30 oct 2026
Next Prime Minister of Sweden
Magdalena Andersson: 77%
Vol. 24h $9.4K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?
No: 85%
Vol. 24h $6.6K · Cierra 1 dic 2026
France declares state of siege (martial law) by...?
December 31: 3%
Vol. 24h $6.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Trump, Putin, and Xi seen together before 2027?
Yes: 87%
Vol. 24h $5.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
China: 79%
Vol. 24h $5.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?
Opp.: 59%
Vol. 24h $5.2K · Cierra 28 oct 2026
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
25 bps increase: 67%
Vol. 24h $4.8K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?
Gadi Eizenkot: 62%
Vol. 24h $4.7K · Cierra 28 oct 2026