Mercados de predicción de Mundo
Geopolítica y eventos globales.
Datos de Polymarket, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro: 86%
Vol. 24h $550.5K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen: 43%
Vol. 24h $448K · Cierra 19 abr 2027
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 2027: 10%
Vol. 24h $421.3K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
Vol. 24h $270.6K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 15: 98%
Vol. 24h $258.9K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
October 14: 98%
Vol. 24h $199.7K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 83%
Vol. 24h $147.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot: 48%
Vol. 24h $110.3K · Cierra 28 oct 2026
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No: 98%
Vol. 24h $63.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December 31: 8%
Vol. 24h $63.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31: 25%
Vol. 24h $58.6K · Cierra 3 ene 2027
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?
October 4: 85%
Vol. 24h $26.4K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Shipping successfully targeted in Hormuz on...?
October 5: 95%
Vol. 24h $26.2K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
December 31: 38%
Vol. 24h $25.8K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 31: 10%
Vol. 24h $25K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No: 97%
Vol. 24h $22.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
December 31: 35%
Vol. 24h $18.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
No: 95%
Vol. 24h $17.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei: 87%
Vol. 24h $15.2K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
NATO article 5 before 2027?
No: 95%
Vol. 24h $15.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
December 31: 20%
Vol. 24h $14.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 31: 14%
Vol. 24h $13.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31: 78%
Vol. 24h $13.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No: 94%
Vol. 24h $13.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?
December 31: 17%
Vol. 24h $12.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Bulgaria Presidential Election
Iliana Iotova: 87%
Vol. 24h $12.2K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
June 30, 2027: 9%
Vol. 24h $9.9K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
French Presidential Election First Round Winner
Marine Le Pen: 88%
Vol. 24h $9.7K · Cierra 18 abr 2027
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Mohammed bin Salman: 78%
Vol. 24h $9.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No: 95%
Vol. 24h $8.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
No: 95%
Vol. 24h $8.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027
Donald Trump: 9%
Vol. 24h $8.5K · Cierra 1 abr 2028
Next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Person N: 50%
Vol. 24h $8.1K · Cierra 1 mar 2027
French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Candidate T: 50%
Vol. 24h $7.3K · Cierra 18 abr 2027
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
Venezuela: 17%
Vol. 24h $7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Iran full airspace closure by...?
December 31: 28%
Vol. 24h $6.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
China: 77%
Vol. 24h $6.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?
December 31: 89%
Vol. 24h $6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will Iran target an Arab country by...?
October 31: 70%
Vol. 24h $5.9K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Turkey military action against Yemen by...?
December 31: 11%
Vol. 24h $5.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
No change: 81%
Vol. 24h $5.7K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
No: 95%
Vol. 24h $5.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
December 31, 2027: 46%
Vol. 24h $5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
Vol. 24h $4.8K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Candidate Q: 50%
Vol. 24h $4.1K · Cierra 18 abr 2027
Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?
Yisrael Beiteinu: 53%
Vol. 24h $3.9K · Cierra 30 jun 2027
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027: 96%
Vol. 24h $3.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory
Remain 40–60%: 61%
Vol. 24h $3.7K · Cierra 20 oct 2026