Mercados de predicción de Mundo
Geopolítica y eventos globales.
Datos de Polymarket, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot: 48%
Vol. 24h $945.1K · Cierra 28 oct 2026
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro: 79%
Vol. 24h $894K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen: 48%
Vol. 24h $793.4K · Cierra 19 abr 2027
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 21: 98%
Vol. 24h $587.5K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
Vol. 24h $358.8K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No: 96%
Vol. 24h $175.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 85%
Vol. 24h $127.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
France declares state of siege (martial law) by...?
December 31: 4%
Vol. 24h $86.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?
October 16: 86%
Vol. 24h $73.1K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory
Remain 40–60%: 75%
Vol. 24h $62K · Cierra 20 oct 2026
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?
December 31: 25%
Vol. 24h $59.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 2027: 10%
Vol. 24h $47K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No: 98%
Vol. 24h $45.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Bulgaria Presidential Election
Iliana Iotova: 88%
Vol. 24h $38K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Netanyahu out by...?
No: 60%
Vol. 24h $33.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
No: 89%
Vol. 24h $32.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No: 97%
Vol. 24h $32.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31: 26%
Vol. 24h $31.3K · Cierra 3 ene 2027
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 31: 9%
Vol. 24h $31K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
October 20: 91%
Vol. 24h $30.5K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
Vol. 24h $27.6K · Cierra 25 oct 2026
US military action against Cuba by...?
No: 92%
Vol. 24h $27.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Macron out by...?
No: 96%
Vol. 24h $23.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
France declares state of emergency by...?
December 31: 16%
Vol. 24h $23.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
June 30, 2027: 9%
Vol. 24h $21.1K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
December 31: 18%
Vol. 24h $16.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
December 31, 2027: 42%
Vol. 24h $16.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?
No: 93%
Vol. 24h $16.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Iran full airspace closure by...?
December 31: 31%
Vol. 24h $15.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Curfew in a major French city by...?
December 31: 27%
Vol. 24h $14.3K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
December 31: 30%
Vol. 24h $12.9K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31: 72%
Vol. 24h $11.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
China: 77%
Vol. 24h $11.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Person Z: 50%
Vol. 24h $11.3K · Cierra 1 mar 2027
Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
Druzkhivka: 30%
Vol. 24h $11.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
No: 91%
Vol. 24h $10.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
No: 98%
Vol. 24h $10.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 31: 12%
Vol. 24h $10.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No: 94%
Vol. 24h $9.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
December 31: 31%
Vol. 24h $9.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?
December 31: 97%
Vol. 24h $8.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?
The Democrats: 57%
Vol. 24h $7.6K · Cierra 30 jun 2027
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Somaliland: 14%
Vol. 24h $6.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
New pandemic in 2026?
No: 96%
Vol. 24h $6.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
No: 91%
Vol. 24h $6.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei: 87%
Vol. 24h $5.9K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Next Israeli Minister of Justice?
Person J: 50%
Vol. 24h $5.9K · Cierra 1 mar 2027
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Vladimir Putin: 86%
Vol. 24h $5.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027