Mercados de predicción de Mundo
Geopolítica y eventos globales.
Datos de Polymarket, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro: 86%
Vol. 24h $483.2K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen: 43%
Vol. 24h $431.6K · Cierra 19 abr 2027
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 2027: 10%
Vol. 24h $418.7K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 15: 98%
Vol. 24h $239.9K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
Vol. 24h $238.4K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
October 14: 97%
Vol. 24h $200.6K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot: 48%
Vol. 24h $159.2K · Cierra 28 oct 2026
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 83%
Vol. 24h $155.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No: 98%
Vol. 24h $82.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December 31: 8%
Vol. 24h $64.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31: 27%
Vol. 24h $60.8K · Cierra 3 ene 2027
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
December 31: 38%
Vol. 24h $26.2K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 31: 10%
Vol. 24h $25.6K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No: 97%
Vol. 24h $22.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
December 31: 36%
Vol. 24h $19.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
No: 95%
Vol. 24h $17.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
NATO article 5 before 2027?
No: 95%
Vol. 24h $15.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
December 31: 22%
Vol. 24h $14.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No: 94%
Vol. 24h $13.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31: 78%
Vol. 24h $12.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?
December 31: 17%
Vol. 24h $12.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Bulgaria Presidential Election
Iliana Iotova: 87%
Vol. 24h $12K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 31: 14%
Vol. 24h $11.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei: 87%
Vol. 24h $11.2K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027
Donald Trump: 9%
Vol. 24h $10.8K · Cierra 1 abr 2028
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
June 30, 2027: 9%
Vol. 24h $9.9K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
French Presidential Election First Round Winner
Marine Le Pen: 88%
Vol. 24h $9.7K · Cierra 18 abr 2027
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Vladimir Putin: 78%
Vol. 24h $9.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
No: 95%
Vol. 24h $9.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Candidate T: 50%
Vol. 24h $8.8K · Cierra 18 abr 2027
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No: 95%
Vol. 24h $8.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Iran full airspace closure by...?
December 31: 28%
Vol. 24h $8.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Person N: 50%
Vol. 24h $7.8K · Cierra 1 mar 2027
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
No: 95%
Vol. 24h $7.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?
December 31: 89%
Vol. 24h $6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
China: 77%
Vol. 24h $5.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Candidate D: 50%
Vol. 24h $5.2K · Cierra 18 abr 2027
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
Vol. 24h $5K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
December 31, 2027: 46%
Vol. 24h $4.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027: 96%
Vol. 24h $4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Next Israeli Minister of Justice?
Person U: 50%
Vol. 24h $3.6K · Cierra 1 mar 2027
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?
No: 99%
Vol. 24h $3K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
Japan: 15%
Vol. 24h $2.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Netanyahu out by...?
No: 60%
Vol. 24h $2.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Spain General Election Winner
PP: 86%
Vol. 24h $2.7K · Cierra 30 nov 2026
Iran Nuke before 2027?
No: 97%
Vol. 24h $2.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory
Remain 40–60%: 61%
Vol. 24h $2.5K · Cierra 20 oct 2026
Bank of Japan Decision in October?
No change: 97%
Vol. 24h $2.3K · Cierra 30 oct 2026