Mercados de predicción de Mundo
Geopolítica y eventos globales.
Datos de Polymarket, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro: 77%
Vol. 24h $1.2M · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 18: 93%
Vol. 24h $781.6K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen: 46%
Vol. 24h $655.6K · Cierra 19 abr 2027
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 85%
Vol. 24h $321.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
Vol. 24h $297.5K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot: 48%
Vol. 24h $268.6K · Cierra 28 oct 2026
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No: 95%
Vol. 24h $84.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
December 31: 31%
Vol. 24h $68.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 31: 13%
Vol. 24h $67.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
October 17: 94%
Vol. 24h $65K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No: 98%
Vol. 24h $63K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by...?
March 31, 2027: 24%
Vol. 24h $62K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December 31: 8%
Vol. 24h $58.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No: 97%
Vol. 24h $55.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Israel military action against Syria by...?
November 30: 25%
Vol. 24h $37.6K · Cierra 30 nov 2026
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
December 31: 22%
Vol. 24h $28.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Iran full airspace closure by...?
December 31: 33%
Vol. 24h $24.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
December 31: 31%
Vol. 24h $22.6K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
China: 73%
Vol. 24h $22.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31: 74%
Vol. 24h $21.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31: 24%
Vol. 24h $19.7K · Cierra 3 ene 2027
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
No change: 85%
Vol. 24h $15K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 31: 10%
Vol. 24h $14.8K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?
December 31: 32%
Vol. 24h $13.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
December 31, 2027: 40%
Vol. 24h $12.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Next Israeli Minister of National Security?
Person U: 50%
Vol. 24h $12.5K · Cierra 1 mar 2027
Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?
No: 94%
Vol. 24h $11.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Modi out by June 30, 2027?
No: 87%
Vol. 24h $11.3K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Netanyahu out by...?
No: 61%
Vol. 24h $10.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 2027: 11%
Vol. 24h $10.8K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei: 87%
Vol. 24h $10.4K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
No: 91%
Vol. 24h $9.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Yes: 83%
Vol. 24h $9.4K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
Vol. 24h $9.3K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by...?
March 31, 2027: 64%
Vol. 24h $8.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
No: 96%
Vol. 24h $7.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Macron out by...?
No: 97%
Vol. 24h $7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
No: 97%
Vol. 24h $6.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Somaliland: 12%
Vol. 24h $6.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?
No Next Chancellor before 2028: 53%
Vol. 24h $5.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Mohammed bin Salman: 80%
Vol. 24h $5.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Person W: 50%
Vol. 24h $5.2K · Cierra 1 mar 2027
Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
Iotova 20-30%: 61%
Vol. 24h $4.9K · Cierra 25 oct 2026
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
No: 95%
Vol. 24h $4.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Bulgaria Presidential Election
Iliana Iotova: 89%
Vol. 24h $4.4K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
EU dissolves before 2027?
No: 98%
Vol. 24h $4.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Spain General Election Winner
PP: 85%
Vol. 24h $4.1K · Cierra 30 nov 2026
Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
Person Q: 50%
Vol. 24h $3.6K · Cierra 1 mar 2027