Mercados de predicción de Mundo
Geopolítica y eventos globales.
Datos de Polymarket, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro: 77%
Vol. 24h $895.1K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen: 47%
Vol. 24h $699K · Cierra 19 abr 2027
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot: 51%
Vol. 24h $544.6K · Cierra 28 oct 2026
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 21: 95%
Vol. 24h $400.4K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
Vol. 24h $371.3K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 2027: 10%
Vol. 24h $237.7K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
France declares state of siege (martial law) by...?
December 31: 3%
Vol. 24h $129.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory
Remain 40–60%: 68%
Vol. 24h $93.5K · Cierra 20 oct 2026
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?
October 6: 92%
Vol. 24h $91.4K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?
December 31: 30%
Vol. 24h $79.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 31: 11%
Vol. 24h $65.8K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
France declares state of emergency by...?
December 31: 21%
Vol. 24h $64.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 31: 14%
Vol. 24h $58.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
No: 91%
Vol. 24h $56.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by...?
June 30, 2027: 62%
Vol. 24h $52.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31: 24%
Vol. 24h $52K · Cierra 3 ene 2027
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
December 31: 37%
Vol. 24h $48.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 85%
Vol. 24h $47.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December 31: 8%
Vol. 24h $44.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
December 31: 38%
Vol. 24h $42K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No: 98%
Vol. 24h $41.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No: 96%
Vol. 24h $37.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?
Ursula von der Leyen: 56%
Vol. 24h $31.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
US military action against Cuba by...?
No: 91%
Vol. 24h $29.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
Vol. 24h $29.2K · Cierra 25 oct 2026
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
No: 89%
Vol. 24h $23.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Iran full airspace closure by...?
December 31: 32%
Vol. 24h $22.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
China: 80%
Vol. 24h $20.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Vladimir Putin: 86%
Vol. 24h $20K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
No: 99%
Vol. 24h $19.3K · Cierra 20 oct 2026
Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?
No: 93%
Vol. 24h $18.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No: 97%
Vol. 24h $16.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Next Israeli Minister of Finance?
Person M: 50%
Vol. 24h $16.6K · Cierra 1 mar 2027
Bulgaria Presidential Election
Iliana Iotova: 88%
Vol. 24h $16K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Somaliland: 14%
Vol. 24h $15.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
October 21: 91%
Vol. 24h $13.7K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31: 72%
Vol. 24h $13.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Person Z: 50%
Vol. 24h $11.2K · Cierra 1 mar 2027
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?
No: 84%
Vol. 24h $11.2K · Cierra 28 oct 2026
Netanyahu out by...?
No: 59%
Vol. 24h $11.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
No: 98%
Vol. 24h $10.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
Person M: 50%
Vol. 24h $9.6K · Cierra 1 mar 2027
Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?
No Next Chancellor before 2028: 64%
Vol. 24h $9.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
Venezuela: 8%
Vol. 24h $9.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Israel Election: Blue and White vote share?
<0.75%: 98%
Vol. 24h $8.8K · Cierra 27 oct 2026
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No: 94%
Vol. 24h $7.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
December 31, 2027: 42%
Vol. 24h $7.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Turnout
78-80%: 58%
Vol. 24h $7.2K · Cierra 26 oct 2026