Mercados de predicción de Mundo
Geopolítica y eventos globales.
Datos de Polymarket, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Brazil Presidential Election
Flávio Bolsonaro: 77%
Vol. 24h $1.8M · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen: 46%
Vol. 24h $965.8K · Cierra 19 abr 2027
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?
October 18: 96%
Vol. 24h $703.5K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
Vol. 24h $329.8K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 85%
Vol. 24h $296.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Gadi Eizenkot: 48%
Vol. 24h $248.5K · Cierra 28 oct 2026
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?
December 31: 31%
Vol. 24h $86.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
No: 98%
Vol. 24h $69.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
No: 97%
Vol. 24h $69.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
December 31: 13%
Vol. 24h $67.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by...?
March 31, 2027: 24%
Vol. 24h $62K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
December 31: 8%
Vol. 24h $52.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Israel military action against Syria by...?
November 30: 31%
Vol. 24h $36.3K · Cierra 30 nov 2026
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 2027: 10%
Vol. 24h $30.7K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?
December 31: 74%
Vol. 24h $27K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
December 31: 24%
Vol. 24h $25.5K · Cierra 3 ene 2027
Iran full airspace closure by...?
December 31: 33%
Vol. 24h $23.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?
December 31: 31%
Vol. 24h $23.7K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
China: 73%
Vol. 24h $22.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
June 30, 2027: 9%
Vol. 24h $19.4K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
No: 96%
Vol. 24h $19.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?
December 31: 20%
Vol. 24h $16.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?
December 31: 10%
Vol. 24h $15.3K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?
December 31, 2027: 40%
Vol. 24h $14.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
No change: 85%
Vol. 24h $14.7K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Will Russia target Kyiv on...?
October 17: 91%
Vol. 24h $14.6K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?
December 31: 32%
Vol. 24h $12.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
No: 91%
Vol. 24h $12.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Iran leader end of 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei: 87%
Vol. 24h $10.6K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Will Ukraine target Moscow on...?
October 18: 79%
Vol. 24h $9.8K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Other: 50%
Vol. 24h $9.3K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Yes: 83%
Vol. 24h $9.1K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by...?
March 31, 2027: 63%
Vol. 24h $8.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Next Israeli Minister of National Security?
Person Z: 50%
Vol. 24h $8.9K · Cierra 1 mar 2027
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
No: 96%
Vol. 24h $7.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Macron out by...?
No: 97%
Vol. 24h $7.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Person M: 50%
Vol. 24h $6.8K · Cierra 1 mar 2027
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
No: 97%
Vol. 24h $6.5K · Cierra 20 oct 2026
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
No: 97%
Vol. 24h $6.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No: 95%
Vol. 24h $5.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Mohammed bin Salman: 79%
Vol. 24h $5.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
French Presidential Election First Round Winner
Marine Le Pen: 86%
Vol. 24h $5K · Cierra 18 abr 2027
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
No: 93%
Vol. 24h $4.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Spain General Election Winner
PP: 85%
Vol. 24h $4.6K · Cierra 30 nov 2026
Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
Person K: 50%
Vol. 24h $3.8K · Cierra 1 mar 2027
Iran Nuke before 2027?
No: 96%
Vol. 24h $3.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Israel Election: Together # of seats?
14-16: 30%
Vol. 24h $3.6K · Cierra 27 oct 2026
Bank of Japan Decision in October?
No change: 96%
Vol. 24h $3.5K · Cierra 30 oct 2026