Mercados de predicción de Tecnología
IA, lanzamientos de productos e hitos de las grandes tecnológicas.
Datos de Polymarket, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 27%
Vol. 24h $1.6M · Cierra 1 ene 2029
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 72%
Vol. 24h $139.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Google: 68%
Vol. 24h $103.6K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?
Saudi Arabia: 19%
Vol. 24h $84.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
December 31: 37%
Vol. 24h $63K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
December 31: 98%
Vol. 24h $62.4K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029: 28%
Vol. 24h $55.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 85%
Vol. 24h $41.8K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Anthropic: 45%
Vol. 24h $31.4K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
CXMT: 30%
Vol. 24h $30.7K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
December 31, 2027: 47%
Vol. 24h $29.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
December 31, 2027: 63%
Vol. 24h $25.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 20%
Vol. 24h $22.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2029
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
December 31: 93%
Vol. 24h $18.3K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Gemini Argon: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?
55%+: 100%
Vol. 24h $18.1K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
60%+: 22%
Vol. 24h $16.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
No release by October 31: 19%
Vol. 24h $14.8K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029: 25%
Vol. 24h $13.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
60%+: 38%
Vol. 24h $12.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
3rd Largest Company end of October?
Alphabet: 79%
Vol. 24h $10.3K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
Microsoft: 28%
Vol. 24h $9.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
Denver, CO: 90%
Vol. 24h $8.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
12-15: 83%
Vol. 24h $7.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
1400+: 93%
Vol. 24h $7.5K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?
Apple: 82%
Vol. 24h $6.7K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
1480+: 35%
Vol. 24h $6.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 14)
No: 51%
Vol. 24h $5.7K · Cierra 15 oct 2026
Kimi K4 released by…?
March 31, 2027: 26%
Vol. 24h $5.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?
No: 55%
Vol. 24h $5.6K · Cierra 16 oct 2026
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Alphabet: 66%
Vol. 24h $4.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
0: 77%
Vol. 24h $4.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?
Google: 51%
Vol. 24h $4.5K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Yes: 92%
Vol. 24h $3.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Next DeepSeek Flash released by...?
November 30: 56%
Vol. 24h $3.7K · Cierra 30 nov 2026
Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 26%
Vol. 24h $3.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2029
Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?
1500+: 90%
Vol. 24h $3.4K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Xiaomi: 57%
Vol. 24h $3.4K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?
Google: 53%
Vol. 24h $3.3K · Cierra 20 oct 2026
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
No: 96%
Vol. 24h $3.3K · Cierra 20 nov 2026
Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
60%+: 45%
Vol. 24h $3.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 24%
Vol. 24h $3.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2029
#1 Searched Actor on Google 2026?
Inde Navarrette: 58%
Vol. 24h $3K · Cierra 1 abr 2027
#2 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)
Company E: 50%
Vol. 24h $2.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
No: 84%
Vol. 24h $2.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?
No: 82%
Vol. 24h $2.6K · Cierra 16 oct 2026
Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 31%
Vol. 24h $2.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2029
#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)
Company D: 50%
Vol. 24h $2.2K · Cierra 1 dic 2026
Top 5 Most Searched People on Google in the US 2026
Lindsay Clancy: 88%
Vol. 24h $2.1K · Cierra 31 dic 2026