Mercados de predicción de Tecnología
IA, lanzamientos de productos e hitos de las grandes tecnológicas.
Datos de Polymarket, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Google: 71%
Vol. 24h $176.6K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 79%
Vol. 24h $77.7K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
December 31, 2027: 62%
Vol. 24h $40.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
AI bubble burst by...?
June 30, 2027: 17%
Vol. 24h $30.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
December 31: 98%
Vol. 24h $27.3K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
October 20: 30%
Vol. 24h $26.6K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
December 31: 91%
Vol. 24h $18.2K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 27%
Vol. 24h $16.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2029
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Anthropic: 50%
Vol. 24h $15K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 28%
Vol. 24h $13.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2029
Which company has the best AI model end of November?
Company J: 50%
Vol. 24h $12.1K · Cierra 1 dic 2026
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 67%
Vol. 24h $11.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
0: 77%
Vol. 24h $10.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?
Saudi Arabia: 23%
Vol. 24h $8.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
1400+: 93%
Vol. 24h $8.2K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?
1500+: 92%
Vol. 24h $7K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?
Apple: 76%
Vol. 24h $7K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Xiaomi: 55%
Vol. 24h $6.7K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029: 28%
Vol. 24h $6.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2030
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
No: 92%
Vol. 24h $5.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
12-15: 77%
Vol. 24h $5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will Claude go down on __ days in October?
<5: 42%
Vol. 24h $3.7K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?
Muse from Meta: 69%
Vol. 24h $3.6K · Cierra 23 oct 2026
OpenAI resumes training on...?
Not resumed by October 20: 96%
Vol. 24h $3.4K · Cierra 21 oct 2026
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
No solution by Dec 31, 2027: 34%
Vol. 24h $3.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
OpenRouter AI token usage Sep 28 to Oct 25?
625-675T: 56%
Vol. 24h $2.9K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?
OpenAI: 100%
Vol. 24h $2.8K · Cierra 20 oct 2026
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
40%+: 22%
Vol. 24h $2.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?
Google: 100%
Vol. 24h $2.6K · Cierra 20 oct 2026
Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?
Anthropic: 90%
Vol. 24h $2.5K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
December 31, 2027: 62%
Vol. 24h $2.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?
December 31: 100%
Vol. 24h $2.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?
DeepSeek: 100%
Vol. 24h $2.2K · Cierra 20 oct 2026
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029: 24%
Vol. 24h $2.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Longest GitHub critical incident in October?
3-6 hours: 59%
Vol. 24h $2K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Top 5 Most Searched TV Shows on Google 2026
A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms: 87%
Vol. 24h $2K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
#1 Searched Movie on Google 2026?
Movie W: 50%
Vol. 24h $2K · Cierra 1 abr 2027
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?
5+: 76%
Vol. 24h $1.7K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?
$40+: 98%
Vol. 24h $1.6K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?
Person 8: 50%
Vol. 24h $1.5K · Cierra 1 abr 2027
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+: 53%
Vol. 24h $1.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
No release by November 1: 90%
Vol. 24h $1.5K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?
Anthropic: 87%
Vol. 24h $1.4K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?
Denver, CO: 94%
Vol. 24h $1.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?
November 30, 2026: 78%
Vol. 24h $1.4K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?
Reserved app 2: 50%
Vol. 24h $1.4K · Cierra 23 oct 2026
#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)
Meta: 60%
Vol. 24h $1.3K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Company I: 50%
Vol. 24h $1.3K · Cierra 31 oct 2026