Mercados de predicción de Tecnología
IA, lanzamientos de productos e hitos de las grandes tecnológicas.
Datos de Polymarket, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029: 20%
Vol. 24h $122.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 76%
Vol. 24h $117.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Google: 81%
Vol. 24h $89.7K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Anthropic: 49%
Vol. 24h $86.5K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
December 31: 97%
Vol. 24h $72.1K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 92%
Vol. 24h $53.7K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?
October 27: 31%
Vol. 24h $30K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
December 31, 2027: 71%
Vol. 24h $27.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Which company has the best AI model end of November?
Google: 53%
Vol. 24h $22.4K · Cierra 1 dic 2026
FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?
December 31, 2027: 64%
Vol. 24h $18.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
0: 77%
Vol. 24h $16.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 35%
Vol. 24h $12.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2029
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?
December 31: 84%
Vol. 24h $11.7K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19?
Google: 58%
Vol. 24h $9.9K · Cierra 27 oct 2026
Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 33%
Vol. 24h $9.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2029
3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Company M: 50%
Vol. 24h $9.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
3rd Largest Company end of October?
Alphabet: 72%
Vol. 24h $8.6K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?
June 30, 2027?: 86%
Vol. 24h $8.6K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
1400+: 94%
Vol. 24h $8.4K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
Anthropic: 98%
Vol. 24h $7.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Company G: 50%
Vol. 24h $7.3K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
GPT Astra 6.1+: Text Arena Debut?
1430+: 84%
Vol. 24h $6.9K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Xiaomi: 68%
Vol. 24h $6.9K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
NuScale announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029: 33%
Vol. 24h $6.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
1470+: 28%
Vol. 24h $6.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 19?
AI lab F: 50%
Vol. 24h $6.7K · Cierra 27 oct 2026
# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?
5+: 99%
Vol. 24h $6.3K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 30%
Vol. 24h $5.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2029
Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?
$900B-$1.00T: 48%
Vol. 24h $4.9K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?
Apple: 91%
Vol. 24h $4.8K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 27%
Vol. 24h $4.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2029
Will Marvell Q3 Data Center revenue be above __?
$2.5B: 92%
Vol. 24h $4.3K · Cierra 1 dic 2026
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Alibaba: 77%
Vol. 24h $4.2K · Cierra 31 oct 2026
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?
October 31: 100%
Vol. 24h $4.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?
December 31, 2029: 25%
Vol. 24h $4K · Cierra 1 ene 2030
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
December 31: 11%
Vol. 24h $4K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?
Saudi Arabia: 28%
Vol. 24h $3.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?
December 31, 2027: 51%
Vol. 24h $3.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028: 26%
Vol. 24h $3.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2029
OpenRouter AI token usage Sep 28 to Oct 25?
675-725T: 93%
Vol. 24h $3.5K · Cierra 26 oct 2026
Will Intuit Q1 Online Ecosystem revenue be above __?
$2.35B: 94%
Vol. 24h $3.3K · Cierra 19 nov 2026
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
45%+: 73%
Vol. 24h $3.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of November?
Anthropic: 80%
Vol. 24h $3.1K · Cierra 1 dic 2026
US Gov confirms PHP2Shell exploited by...?
December 31: 90%
Vol. 24h $3.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?
November 30, 2026: 73%
Vol. 24h $3.1K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of November?
OpenAI: 69%
Vol. 24h $3K · Cierra 1 dic 2026
Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?
1500+: 95%
Vol. 24h $3K · Cierra 1 jul 2027
Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by December 31, 2027: 48%
Vol. 24h $3K · Cierra 1 ene 2028