Will Russia capture Bilytske by...?
Mercados
September 30
Cerrado- Yes0%
- No100%
Volumen $120.6K · Liquidez —
April 30
Cerrado- Yes0%
- No100%
Volumen $78K · Liquidez —
March 31
Cerrado- Yes0%
- No100%
Volumen $73.5K · Liquidez —
August 31
Cerrado- Yes0%
- No100%
Volumen $48.1K · Liquidez —
June 30
Cerrado- Yes0%
- No100%
Volumen $45.2K · Liquidez —
December 31
- Yes86%
- No14%
Volumen $38.5K · Liquidez $24.5K
February 28
Cerrado- Yes0%
- No100%
Volumen $37.9K · Liquidez —
May 31
Cerrado- Yes0%
- No100%
Volumen $12.1K · Liquidez —
October 31
- Yes34%
- No67%
Volumen $7.3K · Liquidez $934.9
Reglas de resolución
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the building located at 48.40731° N, 37.17956° E in Bilytske, Donetsk Oblast, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The building will be considered captured if any part of the building is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map ( by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading under the following layers will qualify: - Assessed Russian-Controlled Terrain - Assessed Russian Advances Shading under the following layers will not qualify: - Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas - Claimed Russian Territory Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded under a qualifying layer on the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Building Location: Building Location in Bilytske: Bilytske Location: Location on Google Maps: The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap ( may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Cómo leer estas probabilidades
Cada precio va de 0 a 1 dólar y se puede leer como la probabilidad que el mercado asigna a un resultado: 0,62 $ equivale aproximadamente a un 62 %. Los precios cambian con cada operación, así que son una estimación colectiva, no una garantía. Antes de operar, revisa las reglas de resolución de arriba, el volumen y la liquidez, y arriesga solo dinero que puedas permitirte perder.
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