Will AOC announce a run for Senate or President before 2028?
Mercados
Senate
- Yes50%
- No51%
Volumen $8.2K · Liquidez $25.1K
President
- Yes30%
- No70%
Volumen $7K · Liquidez $25.3K
Neither
- Yes12%
- No88%
Volumen $6.8K · Liquidez $18.1K
Reglas de resolución
This market will resolve based on the office, between United States Senator and President of the United States, that Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez first officially announces that she is running for in the 2028 election cycle by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to resolve this market in favor of the corresponding outcome, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The formation of an exploratory committee, or a statement that she is exploring or considering a run, will not qualify, nor will any filing that is not accompanied by an announcement. If the listed individual does not announce that she is running for either listed office by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Neither". An announcement of a run for the US House of Representatives will not be relevant for purposes of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Cómo leer estas probabilidades
Cada precio va de 0 a 1 dólar y se puede leer como la probabilidad que el mercado asigna a un resultado: 0,62 $ equivale aproximadamente a un 62 %. Los precios cambian con cada operación, así que son una estimación colectiva, no una garantía. Antes de operar, revisa las reglas de resolución de arriba, el volumen y la liquidez, y arriesga solo dinero que puedas permitirte perder.
Más mercados de Política

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Democratic Party: 63%
Vol. 24h $166.8K · Cierra 4 nov 2026

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
No: 99%
Vol. 24h $7.6K · Cierra 4 nov 2026

Closest Governor's Race?
State A: 50%
Vol. 24h $7.6K · Cierra 4 nov 2026

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
No: 89%
Vol. 24h $62.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2028

Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Luca Niculescu: 58%
Vol. 24h $28.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2028

Next Prime Minister of Spain?
Alberto Núñez Feijóo: 81%
Vol. 24h $197.5K · Cierra 1 abr 2028

Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 2027: 10%
Vol. 24h $85.5K · Cierra 1 jul 2027

Iran leadership change by...?
June 30, 2027: 23%
Vol. 24h $71.2K · Cierra 1 jul 2027

Holborn and St Pancras By-Election Winner
Sagal Abdi-Wali: 99%
Vol. 24h $29.7K · Cierra 1 jul 2027

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
December 31, 2027: 69%
Vol. 24h $21.6K · Cierra 1 jul 2027

Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?
Ulrich Siegmund: 80%
Vol. 24h $13.6K · Cierra 1 jun 2027

Next French Presidential Election
Marine Le Pen: 41%
Vol. 24h $885K · Cierra 19 abr 2027

