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Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

Mercados

  • Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

    • Yes82%
    • No19%

    Volumen $58.2K · Liquidez $16.2K

  • Left Party (V)

    • Yes21%
    • No79%

    Volumen $38.5K · Liquidez $12.9K

  • Green Party (MP)

    • Yes71%
    • No30%

    Volumen $27.6K · Liquidez $326.2

  • Sweden Democrats (SD)

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volumen $25.1K · Liquidez $17K

  • Moderate Party (M)

    • Yes20%
    • No80%

    Volumen $23.2K · Liquidez $12.7K

  • Centre Party (C)

    • Yes49%
    • No52%

    Volumen $21.5K · Liquidez $252.8

  • Christian Democrats (KD)

    • Yes18%
    • No82%

    Volumen $20K · Liquidez $16K

  • Liberals (L)

    • Yes14%
    • No86%

    Volumen $19.4K · Liquidez $16K

  • Citizens' Coalition (MED)

    • Yes0%
    • No100%

    Volumen $2.9K · Liquidez $14K

Reglas de resolución

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the composition of the first Swedish government following the 2026 parliamentary elections is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.

Cómo leer estas probabilidades

Cada precio va de 0 a 1 dólar y se puede leer como la probabilidad que el mercado asigna a un resultado: 0,62 $ equivale aproximadamente a un 62 %. Los precios cambian con cada operación, así que son una estimación colectiva, no una garantía. Antes de operar, revisa las reglas de resolución de arriba, el volumen y la liquidez, y arriesga solo dinero que puedas permitirte perder.

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