Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?
Mercados
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?
- Yes2%
- No98%
Volumen $110K · Liquidez $22.1K
Reglas de resolución
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration publicly announces that the United States will officially refer to the Strait of Hormuz as the "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" or any equivalent name which includes "Trump" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Cómo leer estas probabilidades
Cada precio va de 0 a 1 dólar y se puede leer como la probabilidad que el mercado asigna a un resultado: 0,62 $ equivale aproximadamente a un 62 %. Los precios cambian con cada operación, así que son una estimación colectiva, no una garantía. Antes de operar, revisa las reglas de resolución de arriba, el volumen y la liquidez, y arriesga solo dinero que puedas permitirte perder.
Más mercados de Política

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No: 86%
Vol. 24h $529.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
March 31: 71%
Vol. 24h $479.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
December 31: 18%
Vol. 24h $94.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No: 80%
Vol. 24h $75.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
No: 94%
Vol. 24h $73.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro: 69%
Vol. 24h $69.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Trump out as President before 2027?
No: 96%
Vol. 24h $49.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)
December 31: 19%
Vol. 24h $16.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Houthis enter Aden by...?
December 31: 28%
Vol. 24h $16.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Dilution of Iran's Uranium: 18%
Vol. 24h $15.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Saudi airspace closed by...?
December 31: 14%
Vol. 24h $15.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Abbas Araghchi: 65%
Vol. 24h $13.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

