Mercados de predicción de Economía
Tasas de interés, inflación, empleo y eventos macroeconómicos.
Datos de Polymarket, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Fed Decision in October?
No change: 81%
Vol. 24h $1.6M · Cierra 29 oct 2026
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
↓ $90: 88%
Vol. 24h $128.5K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$2.0–$2.25T: 26%
Vol. 24h $79.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 76%
Vol. 24h $64K · Cierra 10 dic 2026
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 76%
Vol. 24h $60.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Fed Decision in January?
No change: 65%
Vol. 24h $48.1K · Cierra 28 ene 2027
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 13?
Down: 54%
Vol. 24h $40.7K · Cierra 13 oct 2026
Anthropic IPO by __?
December 31, 2026: 70%
Vol. 24h $36.4K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
↑$1.5T: 93%
Vol. 24h $35.6K · Cierra 5 ene 2027
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↓ $90: 71%
Vol. 24h $28.7K · Cierra 16 oct 2026
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in October 2026?
↓ $4,100: 62%
Vol. 24h $23.5K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
September Inflation US - Annual
3.6%: 44%
Vol. 24h $22.6K · Cierra 15 oct 2026
Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 92%
Vol. 24h $22.4K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps): 96%
Vol. 24h $21.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
↑ $4,500: 50%
Vol. 24h $16.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
Hike–Pause–Hike: 62%
Vol. 24h $16.5K · Cierra 9 dic 2026
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
No change: 91%
Vol. 24h $13K · Cierra 30 oct 2026
3rd Largest Company end of October?
Alphabet: 84%
Vol. 24h $12.9K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↓ $4,150: 70%
Vol. 24h $12.3K · Cierra 16 oct 2026
Core CPI MoM - September 2026
0.2%: 50%
Vol. 24h $12.2K · Cierra 15 oct 2026
Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?
280M: 75%
Vol. 24h $12K · Cierra 12 nov 2026
What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↓ $3.10: 88%
Vol. 24h $11.5K · Cierra 16 oct 2026
United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor?
84% to 85%: 34%
Vol. 24h $11.3K · Cierra 20 oct 2026
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?
↑ $780: 89%
Vol. 24h $10.8K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
What will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in October 2026?
↓ $170: 98%
Vol. 24h $10.6K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↓ $775: 75%
Vol. 24h $10.3K · Cierra 16 oct 2026
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.4%: 55%
Vol. 24h $9.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 13?
Down: 52%
Vol. 24h $8.4K · Cierra 13 oct 2026
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
No change: 74%
Vol. 24h $8.4K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
Crude Oil all time high by...?
March 31, 2027: 18%
Vol. 24h $8.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?
No: 100%
Vol. 24h $8K · Cierra 13 oct 2026
What will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↑ $210: 82%
Vol. 24h $7.3K · Cierra 16 oct 2026
What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in October 2026?
↓ $720: 82%
Vol. 24h $7K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
What will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit Week of October 12 2026?
↑ $355: 85%
Vol. 24h $7K · Cierra 16 oct 2026
USD x Iranian rials End of December?
2.5 - 3.0M: 27%
Vol. 24h $6.7K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
US recession by end of 2026?
No: 93%
Vol. 24h $6K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.70%: 64%
Vol. 24h $5.8K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Bank of Canada Decision in October?
No Change: 84%
Vol. 24h $5.7K · Cierra 28 oct 2026
September Inflation US - Monthly
0.6%: 49%
Vol. 24h $5.1K · Cierra 15 oct 2026
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes: 80%
Vol. 24h $4.9K · Cierra 10 dic 2026
Swiss National Bank decision in December?
No Change: 74%
Vol. 24h $4.7K · Cierra 10 dic 2026
USD x Iranian rials End of October?
2.8M+: 47%
Vol. 24h $4.3K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Will Starbucks acquire Chipotle in 2026?
No: 97%
Vol. 24h $3.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No: 86%
Vol. 24h $3.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
Pause-Hike-Pause: 51%
Vol. 24h $3.3K · Cierra 27 ene 2027
Central Bank of Chile decision in October
No change: 92%
Vol. 24h $3.2K · Cierra 27 oct 2026
Mexico Annual Inflation 2026
3.50% to 3.99%: 55%
Vol. 24h $3.2K · Cierra 9 ene 2027
Spotify Monthly Active Users above __ in Q3?
770M: 100%
Vol. 24h $3K · Cierra 22 oct 2026