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Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Mercados

  • Anduril

    • Yes19%
    • No81%

    Volumen $45.9K · Liquidez $341.8

  • Rigetti

    Cerrado
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volumen $27.8K · Liquidez —

  • Nvidia

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volumen $17.2K · Liquidez $697

  • TSMC

    • Yes14%
    • No87%

    Volumen $16.3K · Liquidez $257.8

  • Boeing

    • Yes6%
    • No95%

    Volumen $11.7K · Liquidez $313.3

  • OpenAI

    • Yes14%
    • No87%

    Volumen $11.6K · Liquidez $303.3

  • Samsung Electronics

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volumen $10.4K · Liquidez $374.9

  • GlobalFoundries

    Cerrado
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volumen $10.2K · Liquidez —

  • Anthropic

    • Yes14%
    • No87%

    Volumen $7.3K · Liquidez $2.6K

  • Pfizer

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volumen $6.8K · Liquidez $564.3

  • TikTok US / Bytedance

    • Yes4%
    • No96%

    Volumen $6.5K · Liquidez $290.1

  • D-Wave

    Cerrado
    • Yes100%
    • No0%

    Volumen $5.7K · Liquidez —

  • Palantir

    • Yes6%
    • No94%

    Volumen $4.8K · Liquidez $262.4

  • Eli Lilly

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volumen $3.6K · Liquidez $365.9

  • IonQ

    • Yes9%
    • No92%

    Volumen $3.6K · Liquidez $340.6

  • Lockheed Martin

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volumen $3.5K · Liquidez $545.2

  • Freeport-McMoRan

    • Yes7%
    • No93%

    Volumen $3.5K · Liquidez $320.4

  • Micron

    • Yes10%
    • No90%

    Volumen $2.7K · Liquidez $472

  • Unusual Machines

    • Yes53%
    • No48%

    Volumen $755.1 · Liquidez $416.6

  • SpaceX

    • Yes5%
    • No95%

    Volumen $147.1 · Liquidez $94.8

Reglas de resolución

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company. Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count. Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify. An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. Speculation, suggestions, plans, or other announcements which do not announce a completed acquisition or a binding acquisition agreement, however, will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.

Cómo leer estas probabilidades

Cada precio va de 0 a 1 dólar y se puede leer como la probabilidad que el mercado asigna a un resultado: 0,62 $ equivale aproximadamente a un 62 %. Los precios cambian con cada operación, así que son una estimación colectiva, no una garantía. Antes de operar, revisa las reglas de resolución de arriba, el volumen y la liquidez, y arriesga solo dinero que puedas permitirte perder.

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