Mercados de predicción de Economía
Tasas de interés, inflación, empleo y eventos macroeconómicos.
Datos de Polymarket, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.

Fed Decision in October?
No change: 67%
Vol. 24h $2M · Cierra 29 oct 2026

Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 74%
Vol. 24h $330.5K · Cierra 10 dic 2026

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No: 80%
Vol. 24h $101.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes: 82%
Vol. 24h $100.7K · Cierra 9 dic 2026

Largest Company end of September?
NVIDIA: 100%
Vol. 24h $68.4K · Cierra 1 oct 2026

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps): 97%
Vol. 24h $33.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
No change: 81%
Vol. 24h $21.5K · Cierra 30 oct 2026

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.3%: 89%
Vol. 24h $21.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Fed rate cut by...?
July 2027 Meeting: 61%
Vol. 24h $18.4K · Cierra 29 ene 2028

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?
5.0%: 5%
Vol. 24h $17.6K · Cierra 1 abr 2027

Core PCE YoY - August 2026
≤3.0%: 100%
Vol. 24h $15.2K · Cierra 30 sept 2026

No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?
No change: 70%
Vol. 24h $12.4K · Cierra 27 oct 2026

Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 80%
Vol. 24h $12.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Fed Decision in January?
No change: 48%
Vol. 24h $12.1K · Cierra 28 ene 2027

Central Bank of Colombia decision in September
No change: 65%
Vol. 24h $10.9K · Cierra 1 oct 2026

USD x Iranian rials End of December?
2.5 - 3.0M: 30%
Vol. 24h $10.4K · Cierra 31 dic 2026

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
Hike–Pause–Hike: 42%
Vol. 24h $9.9K · Cierra 9 dic 2026

What will the median home value in Miami be on September 30?
$1.125M - $1.161M: 100%
Vol. 24h $9.8K · Cierra 11 oct 2026

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026
5.00-5.49%: 45%
Vol. 24h $6.3K · Cierra 13 ene 2027

How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.60%: 92%
Vol. 24h $6.1K · Cierra 31 dic 2026

