US bank failure by December 31, 2026?
Mercados
US bank failure by December 31, 2026?
- Yes85%
- No16%
Volumen $6.8K · Liquidez $2.3K
Reglas de resolución
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any US bank fails between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET (according to the FDIC's "Failed Bank List"). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", the bank's closing date as listed by the FDIC must be within this market's above-specified timeframe. If there is a potential bank failure within this market's timeframe and the FDIC "Failed Bank List" has not been updated yet, this market may remain open to allow for the list to be updated. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), specifically the "Failed Bank List" available here: however, other official statements from the FDIC and government entities will suffice.
Cómo leer estas probabilidades
Cada precio va de 0 a 1 dólar y se puede leer como la probabilidad que el mercado asigna a un resultado: 0,62 $ equivale aproximadamente a un 62 %. Los precios cambian con cada operación, así que son una estimación colectiva, no una garantía. Antes de operar, revisa las reglas de resolución de arriba, el volumen y la liquidez, y arriesga solo dinero que puedas permitirte perder.
Más mercados de Economía

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No: 89%
Vol. 24h $119.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps): 97%
Vol. 24h $81.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Anthropic IPO by __?
December 31, 2026: 72%
Vol. 24h $60K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 71%
Vol. 24h $43.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Below 4.7%: 24%
Vol. 24h $27K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Crude Oil all time high by...?
March 31, 2027: 20%
Vol. 24h $17.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
5.4%: 38%
Vol. 24h $17.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December?
↑ $4,500: 50%
Vol. 24h $15.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Alphabet: 65%
Vol. 24h $3.5K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

South Korea Annual Inflation 2026
2.7% to 2.9%: 42%
Vol. 24h $2.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?
Apple: 59%
Vol. 24h $2.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
Yes: 51%
Vol. 24h $1.7K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

