S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 30?
Mercados
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 30?
- Up0%
- Down100%
Volumen $69.1K · Liquidez $28K
Reglas de resolución
This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Wednesday, September 30, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Wednesday, September 30, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: EMEA: ASIA:
Cómo leer estas probabilidades
Cada precio va de 0 a 1 dólar y se puede leer como la probabilidad que el mercado asigna a un resultado: 0,62 $ equivale aproximadamente a un 62 %. Los precios cambian con cada operación, así que son una estimación colectiva, no una garantía. Antes de operar, revisa las reglas de resolución de arriba, el volumen y la liquidez, y arriesga solo dinero que puedas permitirte perder.
Más mercados de Economía

Fed Decision in October?
No change: 64%
Vol. 24h $1.5M · Cierra 29 oct 2026

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
No: 100%
Vol. 24h $159.6K · Cierra 1 oct 2026

Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 75%
Vol. 24h $108.6K · Cierra 10 dic 2026

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
↑ $95: 81%
Vol. 24h $107.4K · Cierra 1 nov 2026

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps): 97%
Vol. 24h $103.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No: 80%
Vol. 24h $69K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

Largest Company end of September?
NVIDIA: 100%
Vol. 24h $63.4K · Cierra 1 oct 2026

Anthropic IPO by __?
December 31, 2026: 76%
Vol. 24h $57.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2027

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30?
Down: 100%
Vol. 24h $51.4K · Cierra 30 sept 2026

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on September 30?
$90: 100%
Vol. 24h $50.7K · Cierra 30 sept 2026

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
↑$1.5T: 94%
Vol. 24h $49.8K · Cierra 5 ene 2027

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
No change: 87%
Vol. 24h $49.4K · Cierra 30 oct 2026

