Mercados de predicción de Economía
Tasas de interés, inflación, empleo y eventos macroeconómicos.
Datos de Polymarket, actualizados ….
Solo informativo. No es asesoramiento financiero ni de apuestas. Las probabilidades reflejan precios de mercado, no certezas.
Fed Decision in October?
No change: 87%
Vol. 24h $1.7M · Cierra 29 oct 2026
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
↑ $100: 81%
Vol. 24h $310.1K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
No: 89%
Vol. 24h $185.3K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
↑$1.5T: 93%
Vol. 24h $101K · Cierra 5 ene 2027
What will Apple (AAPL) hit Week of October 19 2026?
↓ $336: 81%
Vol. 24h $74.4K · Cierra 23 oct 2026
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
$1.75–$2.0T: 28%
Vol. 24h $64.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
Anthropic IPO by __?
December 31, 2026: 79%
Vol. 24h $57K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Fed Decision in January?
No change: 59%
Vol. 24h $55.3K · Cierra 28 ene 2027
Bank of Canada Decision in October?
25 bps increase: 69%
Vol. 24h $52.2K · Cierra 28 oct 2026
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps): 97%
Vol. 24h $48.8K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Fed Decision in December?
25 bps increase: 78%
Vol. 24h $31.3K · Cierra 10 dic 2026
Bank of Russia decision in October?
No Change: 90%
Vol. 24h $27.9K · Cierra 24 oct 2026
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
No: 94%
Vol. 24h $26.1K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Largest Company end of October 2026?
NVIDIA: 87%
Vol. 24h $21K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Largest Company end of December 2026?
NVIDIA: 73%
Vol. 24h $19.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 19 2026?
↑ $775: 67%
Vol. 24h $14.4K · Cierra 23 oct 2026
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?
↑ $780: 58%
Vol. 24h $12.7K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
SpaceX: 70%
Vol. 24h $12.2K · Cierra 2 ene 2027
What will Silver (XAGUSD) hit in October 2026?
↓ $56: 55%
Vol. 24h $11.9K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Bank of Mexico Decision in November?
No change: 60%
Vol. 24h $11.3K · Cierra 5 nov 2026
Crude Oil all time high by...?
March 31, 2027: 23%
Vol. 24h $11.2K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
Hike–Pause–Hike: 68%
Vol. 24h $9.7K · Cierra 9 dic 2026
What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of October 19 2026?
↑ $3.00: 95%
Vol. 24h $9.3K · Cierra 23 oct 2026
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of October 19 2026?
↑ $100: 75%
Vol. 24h $9.2K · Cierra 23 oct 2026
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in October 2026?
↓ $4,100: 82%
Vol. 24h $9.1K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
What will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit Week of October 19 2026?
↑ $382.50: 87%
Vol. 24h $9K · Cierra 23 oct 2026
What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
$1.50–$1.75T: 45%
Vol. 24h $8.9K · Cierra 1 ene 2028
October Inflation China - Annual
0.7% to 0.8%: 43%
Vol. 24h $8.9K · Cierra 9 nov 2026
What will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit in October 2026?
↑ $700: 85%
Vol. 24h $8.8K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
ISM Manufacturing PMI - October 2026
53.0 to 53.9: 32%
Vol. 24h $7.8K · Cierra 2 nov 2026
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes: 81%
Vol. 24h $7.3K · Cierra 10 dic 2026
Bank of England decision in November?
25 bps increase: 93%
Vol. 24h $6.8K · Cierra 5 nov 2026
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
3.5–3.9%: 53%
Vol. 24h $6.2K · Cierra 21 ene 2027
Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?
$900B-$1.00T: 43%
Vol. 24h $5.3K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q4 2026?
4.3-4.6%: 42%
Vol. 24h $4.8K · Cierra 1 feb 2027
Fed rate cut by...?
July 2027 Meeting: 50%
Vol. 24h $4.8K · Cierra 29 ene 2028
Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026
2.0-2.4%: 68%
Vol. 24h $4.2K · Cierra 1 abr 2027
What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on December 31?
<$1.062M: 45%
Vol. 24h $4.1K · Cierra 11 ene 2027
US economic state at the end of 2026?
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%): 73%
Vol. 24h $3.6K · Cierra 1 feb 2027
People's Bank of China rate change by December 31?
No Change: 95%
Vol. 24h $3.6K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)
Pause-Hike-Pause: 51%
Vol. 24h $3.4K · Cierra 27 ene 2027
USD x Iranian rials End of December?
2.5 - 3.0M: 33%
Vol. 24h $3.4K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
October Inflation US - Monthly
0.3%: 33%
Vol. 24h $3.2K · Cierra 11 nov 2026
US recession by end of 2026?
No: 93%
Vol. 24h $3K · Cierra 31 dic 2026
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?
Yes: 98%
Vol. 24h $2.6K · Cierra 1 ene 2027
Bank of Brazil decision in November?
25 bps decrease: 85%
Vol. 24h $2.6K · Cierra 4 nov 2026
USD x Iranian rials End of October?
2.6-2.7M: 38%
Vol. 24h $2.5K · Cierra 1 nov 2026
Oracle downgraded to junk by Moody's or S&P by...?
June 30, 2027: 36%
Vol. 24h $2.3K · Cierra 1 jul 2027